779
FXUS61 KCLE 271834
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
234 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY EXIT THE
AREA INTO THIS EVENING.
2) MAINLY QUIET, DRY, AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO
MID-NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DEPICT A SURFACE WARM FRONT
LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE US-30 CORRIDOR AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON. RESIDUAL SHOWERS
AND WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS RESULTING FROM WEAK ISENTROPIC ASCENT
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AND EXIT THE
AREA INTO THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WITH A
MODEST NORTH BREEZE OF 10 TO 15 MPH.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
THE OVERALL PATTERN FAVORS A RELATIVELY QUIET AND DRY PERIOD OF
WEATHER INTO MID-NEXT WEEK AS AN OMEGA BLOCK DEVELOPS ACROSS
THE CONUS. FOR THE MOST PART, OUR AREA WILL GENERALLY BE LOCATED
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE BETWEEN 70 AND 80, WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. CAN'T RULE
OUT SOME ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK, THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IN COVERAGE IS LOW.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR IS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT DROPS ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN ITS
WAKE. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS COULD IMPACT KMFD THROUGH 20Z THIS
AFTERNOON, BUT EXPECT SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS AT KMFD, KCAK,
AND KYNG THROUGH THIS EVENING WHEN THE CURRENT BKN TO OVC
CEILINGS OF 4 TO 6 THOUSAND FEET WILL SCATTER OUT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME N TO NE AT
ABOUT 3 TO 5 KNOTS TONIGHT, INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS THURSDAY
WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS BY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...VFR IS LARGELY FAVORED FROM THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
MARINE
GENERALLY QUIET MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK ON LAKE ERIE AS STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND LARGELY REMAINS
IN PLACE. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT NE TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO
10-20 KNOTS THURSDAY BEFORE TURNING SW AT 5-15 KNOTS FRIDAY. WE
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY PERIOD WHEN
ANOTHER PUSH OF N TO NE WINDS COULD APPROACH 15-25 KNOTS. THIS
IS THE ONLY PERIOD OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHEN SMALL CRAFT
HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED. EVEN WITHOUT HEADLINES, WAVES WILL
REACH 3 FEET LEADING TO CHOPPY CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY. WINDS
WILL TURN LIGHT SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KAHN
AVIATION...GARUCKAS
MARINE...GARUCKAS
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