966
FXUS61 KCLE 310651
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
251 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS FAIR WEATHER AND QUIET WITH NO
IMPACTFUL CHANGES NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY
WARMING UP THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK.
2) SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A SERIES OF HIGH PRESSURES MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
DEPARTS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TEND TO BE IN THE 70S, WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE 80S THURSDAY ONWARD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
DEPARTING HIGH. DAILY AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE THROUGH THURSDAY
WILL LIKELY KEEP THE LAKESHORE AREA A BIT COOLER.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS OVER THE
WEEKEND, WITH HIGHEST POPS OF AROUND 30-50% AS LOW PRESSURE AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. EARLY INDICATIONS
IN MODEL DATA POINT TOWARDS TOWARDS LITTLE TO NO THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR ACROSS THE TAF SITES EARLY THIS MORNING WITH VFR TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL GENERALLY FAVOR AN EASTERLY
DIRECTION OVERNIGHT, AROUND 5 KNOTS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TOWARDS
THE NORTH BEHIND A LAKE BREEZE IN THE EARLY THE MID-AFTERNOON, 7
TO 10 KNOTS, MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-71 CORRIDOR.
OUTLOOK...VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE LAKE TONIGHT WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GENERALLY
TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS. BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON, SHIFTING EAST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY CONTINUING TO
SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AND BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENTS
REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM FROM RENO BEACH TO WILLOWICK. IT IS
POSSIBLE A PORTION OF THE HEADLINES BETWEEN THE ISLANDS AND
CLEVELAND NEEDS TO BE EXTENDED A FEW MORE HOURS THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE, NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
FLOW WILL REMAIN ONSHORE THROUGH MIDWEEK AND MAY ENHANCE A BIT
AT TIMES, MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON/LAKE BREEZE HOURS EACH
DAY, WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME OCCASIONAL CHOPPINESS.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SAUNDERS
AVIATION...KAHN
MARINE...SULLIVAN
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