658
FXUS61 KCLE 311109
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
709 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS FAIR WEATHER AND QUIET WITH NO
IMPACTFUL CHANGES NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY
WARMING UP THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK.
2) SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A SERIES OF HIGH PRESSURES MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
DEPARTS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TEND TO BE IN THE 70S, WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE 80S THURSDAY ONWARD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
DEPARTING HIGH. DAILY AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE THROUGH THURSDAY
WILL LIKELY KEEP THE LAKESHORE AREA A BIT COOLER.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS OVER THE
WEEKEND, WITH HIGHEST POPS OF AROUND 30-50% AS LOW PRESSURE AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. EARLY INDICATIONS
IN MODEL DATA POINT TOWARDS TOWARDS LITTLE TO NO THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR ACROSS THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING WITH VFR TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT TOWARDS THE NORTH
BEHIND A LAKE BREEZE IN THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON, 7 TO 10
KNOTS, MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-71 CORRIDOR. OTHERWISE,
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
OUTLOOK...VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
MARINE
MAINLY QUIET MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION. COULD SEE A
FEW BRIEF PERIODS OF 2 TO PERHAPS 3-FOOT WAVES WITH DAILY LAKE
BREEZES EXPECTED, PARTICULARLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE,
OVERALL FLOW WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SAUNDERS
AVIATION...KAHN
MARINE...KAHN
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