419
FXUS61 KCLE 311722
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
122 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS FAIR WEATHER AND QUIET WITH NO
IMPACTFUL CHANGES NEEDED WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY
WARMING UP THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK.
2) SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A SERIES OF HIGH PRESSURES MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
DEPARTS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS TEND TO BE IN THE 70S, WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE 80S THURSDAY ONWARD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
DEPARTING HIGH. DAILY AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE THROUGH THURSDAY
WILL LIKELY KEEP THE LAKESHORE AREA A BIT COOLER.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS OVER THE
WEEKEND, WITH HIGHEST POPS OF AROUND 30-50% AS LOW PRESSURE AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. EARLY INDICATIONS
IN MODEL DATA POINT TOWARDS TOWARDS LITTLE TO NO THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
FLYING IN AND OUT OF NORTHERN OHIO AND NWPA WILL BE IDEAL OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING FAIR
WEATHER AND CLEAR SKIES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5 KNOTS OR LESS. A LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
OF 5 TO 8 KNOTS WILL ARRIVE LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE
WILL BE A LIGHT LAKE BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON AT CLE AND ERI UP TO
8 KNOTS BEFORE RETURNING TO VARIABLE LATER THIS EVENING.
OUTLOOK...VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND KEEP QUIET
MARINE CONDITIONS AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY OF THIS WEEK.
A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
DURING THE DAY MONDAY AND TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE. WITH THAT UPTICK OF NE WINDS,
WAVES MAY BRIEFLY CLIMB UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET WITH THOSE DAILY
AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZES. A SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
AROUND TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS MAY RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND
WEEKEND.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SAUNDERS
AVIATION...77
MARINE...77
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