868
FXUS61 KCLE 110554
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
154 AM EDT SAT JUL 11 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL OF NWS CLEVELAND FORECAST
AREA. THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE THIS
EVENING.
2) TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER BY EARLY TO MID-NEXT WEEK WITH
LIMITED PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH,
SETTLING NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE US-30 CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY, PARTICULARLY NEAR THE US-30
CORRIDOR, AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EAST INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY.
KEY MESSAGE 2... A WARMER AND DRIER PATTERN APPEARS FAVORED BY
THE END OF THE WEEKEND THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE MAY BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN TOWARDS THE END
OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS EAST ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND, THOUGH LIMITED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO ABOVE AVERAGE BY AS EARLY
AS SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, FURTHER INCREASING
INTO THE LOW TO PERHAPS MID-90S BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WILL
NEED TO MONITOR TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY TRENDS DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME AS HEAT INDICES RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S,
YIELDING AT LEAST SOME POCKETS OF MAJOR HEAT RISK ON WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AREAS OF FOG AND IFR (OR LOWER) CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH TO ABOUT 1-2 HOURS AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS 1/4 SM AND CEILINGS DOWN TO
200-300 FT WILL BE POSSIBLE. DURATION AND PERSISTENCE OF FOG IS
EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST AT AND NEAR KYNG.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING AROUND 8-12 KNOTS WILL BE
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST WITH SPORADIC GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS WITH
SLIGHTLY STRONG WINDS NEAR THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. WINDS
GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO AROUND 5 KNOTS BY TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
AND MONDAY MORNING.
MARINE
A FRONT IS PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS OHIO THIS AFTERNOON WITH
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS EXPECTED ON LAKE ERIE ON SATURDAY. THE WIND
FORECAST HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY HIGHER ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF
LAKE ERIE AND A MODERATE SWIM RISK EXPECTED. CONDITIONS WILL BE
CHOPPY BUT EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH 2
TO 4 FOOT WAVES. NORTHEAST WINDS DECREASE SATURDAY NIGHT THEN
INCREASE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS
AND WAVES AROUND 2-3 FEET.
MARINE CONDITIONS IMPROVE MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVERHEAD. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE SOUTHEAST. WAVES GENERALLY EXPECTED TO
BE LESS THAN 1 FOOT.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KAHN
AVIATION...SAUNDERS
MARINE...10
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