881
WTUS84 KCRP 092151
HLSCRP
TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-100600-
TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX AL062024
451 PM CDT MON SEP 9 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTH TEXAS
**TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE BRINGS WATCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ARANSAS ISLANDS,
CALHOUN ISLANDS, COASTAL ARANSAS, COASTAL CALHOUN, COASTAL
KLEBERG, COASTAL NUECES, COASTAL REFUGIO, COASTAL SAN PATRICIO,
KLEBERG ISLANDS, AND NUECES ISLANDS
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ARANSAS ISLANDS,
CALHOUN ISLANDS, COASTAL ARANSAS, COASTAL CALHOUN, COASTAL
KLEBERG, COASTAL NUECES, COASTAL REFUGIO, COASTAL SAN PATRICIO,
KLEBERG ISLANDS, AND NUECES ISLANDS
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX OR ABOUT 310
MILES SOUTH OF PORT OCONNOR TX
- 24.0N 96.0W
- STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
FRANCINE REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NNW AROUND 7 MPH OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE INNER CORE IS CONTINUING TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED, AND THE STORM IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN A
MORE SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
REACHING HURRICANE STATUS BY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING. WITH THE CENTER BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST FEW
HOURS, STORM MOTION IS A BIT EASIER TO ESTIMATE. THOUGH THE SYSTEM
TRACKED A BIT WESTWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED
TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST
ON WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST AND NEARSHORE WATERS, WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT
FOR OUR OFFSHORE WATERS. IN ADDITION, THERE ARE SEVERAL POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS IMPACTS TO THE REGION. THE THREATS INCLUDE:
- WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS 10-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE
FORECAST. PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39-57 MPH.
- COASTAL FLOODING: PEAK INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST INCLUDING THE BAYS BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND
MATAGORDA BAY. GREATEST THREAT FOR STORM SURGE IS FROM TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
- FLASH FLOODING: LIMITED THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES EXPECTED, ISOLATED
HIGHER. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR DIRECTLY ALONG THE
COAST.
- TORNADOES: LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
- HAZARDOUS SEAS: WAVE HEIGHTS 8-13 FEET.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
- MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
- MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.
* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE
COASTAL BEND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND
DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL BEND.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE HAZARDS SUCH AS FLOODING RAIN, DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE, AND TORNADOES EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER OF THE STORM.
IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW-LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES OF
OTHERS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.
CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON TEXAS EVACUATION ROUTES, SEE
TXDOT.GOV/DRIVER/WEATHER/HURRICANE.HTML
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING EMERGENCY KITS, SEE TEXASREADY.GOV
- FOR STATE ASSISTANCE IN AN EMERGENCY EVENT,
TDEM.TEXAS.GOV/RESPONSE/STATE-OF-TEXAS-EMERGENCY-ASSISTANCE-REGISTRY
- FOR INFORMATION ON REGISTERING FOR EMERGENCY NOTIFICATIONS IN YOUR
AREA VISIT THE WEBSITES BELOW...
- CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES COUNTY: CCTEXAS.COM/REVERSEALERT
- SAN PATRICIO, ARANSAS, AND REFUGIO COUNTY: COASTALPLAINLEPC.ORG
- VICTORIA COUNTY: VCTX.ORG/PAGE/OEM.HOME
- CALHOUN COUNTY: WWW.CALHOUNCOTX.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI TX AROUND 10 PM CDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.
KRS
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