012
FXUS64 KCRP 170938
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
338 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES:
- DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 11AM
- STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TOMORROW
AS WINDS CALMED OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS, SOME AREAS HAVE SEEN
RADIATION FOG DEVELOPING THUS DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. AS A
RESULT OF THIS, PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY TO THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH
11AM THIS MORNING. FOG SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AROUND MID
MORNING WHICH LEAVES THE POSSIBILITY FOR THE ADVISORY TO BE
CANCELLED SOONER, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME. THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY SHOULD YIELD WARM CONDITIONS YET AGAIN UNDER
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SINCE WE ARE STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
SURFACE HIGH CENTRALIZED OVER DIXIE ALLEY. OVERNIGHT, MODELS ARE
HINTING AT ANOTHER RADIATION FOG EPISODE WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
ANOTHER DENSE FOG ADVISORY ACROSS THE REGION. WEDNESDAY WILL BE
WARM ONCE AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SWEEP THROUGH THE CWA BEGINNING AROUND MIDDAY
TOMORROW CLEARING THE REGION BY THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
BECOME SEASONAL ONCE AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES:
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY RETURN TO THE REGION TO OPEN UP
THE LONG TERM IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. THESE COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
BEGINNING TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY AS ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS. AS ONSHORE FLOW ADVECTS WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION
EARLY NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO
THE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE CATEGORY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST MON DEC 16 2024
NOT MUCH OF A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS AVIATION PACKAGE. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS AREA TERMINALS FOR A COUPLE MORE
HOURS, BEFORE DETERIORATING TO GENERALLY MVFR TO IFR LEVELS
OVERNIGHT. TEMPORARY LIFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECASTED AT ALI/VCT
SITES BETWEEN 09-15Z TUESDAY PRIMARILY DUE TO FOG DEVELOPMENT.
EXPECT A RETURN TO VFR CLOSER TO NOON ON TUESDAY, REMAINING AT
THESE LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THE CYCLE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, AND MOSTLY OUT OF THE S TO SE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AT AROUND 10-15 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO STRONG (15-20 KNOTS) NORTH
WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL WEAKEN TO MORE MODERATE LEVELS (AROUND
15 KNOTS) THURSDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
EVENING AND WEAKENING TO UNDER 10 KNOTS. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN
INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS (AROUND 15 KNOTS) FRIDAY AND REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 80 63 80 49 / 0 0 20 0
VICTORIA 82 61 77 42 / 10 0 30 0
LAREDO 82 65 78 52 / 10 0 30 10
ALICE 82 61 80 47 / 0 0 30 0
ROCKPORT 77 64 77 49 / 10 0 20 0
COTULLA 83 64 76 47 / 10 0 20 0
KINGSVILLE 82 62 80 49 / 0 0 30 0
NAVY CORPUS 76 66 75 53 / 0 0 20 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ230>234-
240>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...NP/92
LONG TERM....JCP/84
AVIATION...ANM/88
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page