917
FXUS64 KCRP 171127
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
527 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES:
- DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 11AM
- STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TOMORROW
AS WINDS CALMED OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS, SOME AREAS HAVE SEEN
RADIATION FOG DEVELOPING THUS DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. AS A
RESULT OF THIS, PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY TO THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH
11AM THIS MORNING. FOG SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AROUND MID
MORNING WHICH LEAVES THE POSSIBILITY FOR THE ADVISORY TO BE
CANCELLED SOONER, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME. THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY SHOULD YIELD WARM CONDITIONS YET AGAIN UNDER
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SINCE WE ARE STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
SURFACE HIGH CENTRALIZED OVER DIXIE ALLEY. OVERNIGHT, MODELS ARE
HINTING AT ANOTHER RADIATION FOG EPISODE WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
ANOTHER DENSE FOG ADVISORY ACROSS THE REGION. WEDNESDAY WILL BE
WARM ONCE AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SWEEP THROUGH THE CWA BEGINNING AROUND MIDDAY
TOMORROW CLEARING THE REGION BY THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
BECOME SEASONAL ONCE AGAIN IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES:
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY RETURN TO THE REGION TO OPEN UP
THE LONG TERM IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. THESE COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
BEGINNING TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY AS ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS. AS ONSHORE FLOW ADVECTS WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION
EARLY NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO
THE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE CATEGORY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
DENSE FOG IS CREATING LIFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL EASTERN SITES THIS
MORNING WHILE COT AND LRD REMAIN VFR FOR NOW. SOME LOW CLOUDS ARE
APPROACHING LRD, AND THEY COULD SEE SOME MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. VISBYS IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING AND
SHOULD BREAK TO VFR FOR ALL SITES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER
ROUND OF FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH
SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO WHAT WE'RE SEEING NOW. AN ISOLATED SHOWER
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT TODAY FOR ANY SITE, BUT COVERAGE WILL BE
RATHER LOW SO WILL NOT INCLUDE IN TAFS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 333 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO STRONG (15-20 KNOTS) NORTH
WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL WEAKEN TO MORE MODERATE LEVELS (AROUND
15 KNOTS) THURSDAY BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY
EVENING AND WEAKENING TO UNDER 10 KNOTS. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN
INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS (AROUND 15 KNOTS) FRIDAY AND REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 80 63 80 49 / 0 0 20 0
VICTORIA 82 61 77 42 / 10 0 30 0
LAREDO 82 65 78 52 / 10 0 30 10
ALICE 82 61 80 47 / 0 0 30 0
ROCKPORT 77 64 77 49 / 10 0 20 0
COTULLA 83 64 76 47 / 10 0 20 0
KINGSVILLE 82 62 80 49 / 0 0 30 0
NAVY CORPUS 76 66 75 53 / 10 0 20 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ230>234-
240>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...NP/92
LONG TERM....JCP/84
AVIATION...PH/83
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page