183
FXUS64 KCRP 281816
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
116 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1315 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
KEY MESSAGE:
- RAIN IS ENDING AND FOG MAY BECOME DENSE IN AREAS OVERNIGHT.
THE MAIN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT BROUGHT COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN
TO THE REGION OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS IS NOW OVERHEAD AND MOVING
OFF TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, THOUGH THEY ARE MUCH MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE THAN WHAT
WE HAVE SEEN PREVIOUSLY. THERE IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY
ADDITIONAL FLOOD RISK WITH THESE STORMS BEFORE THEY MOVE OUT TO
SEA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE, THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
WITH THE AMPLE MOISTURE AND CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT, FOG WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION AND MAY BE DENSE AT TIMES.
THERE IS NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME TO ISSUE A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY, BUT ONE MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED LATER ON.
TEMPERATURES WORK BACK UP QUICKLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S
FOR MOST LOCATIONS AND THE 90S OUT ACROSS BRUSH COUNTRY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1315 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT
INTO SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY, BECOMING STATIONARY AND NOT MAKING MUCH
IMPACT TO TEMPERATURES BEFORE RETREATING NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY.
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK
WEEK ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS AS A WIDE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS, THAT WILL BE OUR FOCUS OF ATTENTION HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
HIGHS GENERALLY FROM THE 80S TO 90S WITH WEDNESDAY BEING THE HOTTEST
DAY AS TEMPERATURES NEAR 100 OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. LOWS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
MONDAY NIGHT A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE
FRONT BRINGING SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1315 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
MOST OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS COME TO AN END
FOR THE AIRPORTS. OUR ATTENTION NOW TURNS TO DEVELOPMENT OF FOG
AFTER 10Z TONIGHT. SOME FOG COULD BE DENSE AT TIMES AND LEAD TO
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS. MOST FOG SHOULD LIFT BY AROUND 16Z, THOUGH
SOME LOW CIGS COULD LINGER A LITTLE AFTER THAT BEFORE VFR
CONDITIONS RETURN. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1315 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
A SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3/4) BREEZE WILL
DOMINATE NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA MONDAY, SHIFTING WINDS OUT OF EAST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. AN ONSHORE MODERATE BREEZE DEVELOPS BY TUESDAY,
STRENGTHENING TO A FRESH TO STRONG (BF 5/6) BREEZE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THERE ARE NO CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME FOR
NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 68 84 69 86 / 10 10 0 0
VICTORIA 66 84 67 85 / 10 0 0 0
LAREDO 69 92 69 93 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 66 88 66 90 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 69 80 70 82 / 10 0 0 0
COTULLA 67 91 69 92 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 67 87 67 90 / 10 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 69 78 69 79 / 10 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CLM/93
LONG TERM....EMF/94
AVIATION...CLM/93
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