187   
FXUS64 KCRP 291747  
AFDCRP  
  
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX  
1247 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
  
   
SHORT TERM  
  
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
  
KEY MESSAGES:  
  
- PATCHY FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING  
  
SATURATED SOILS, SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, LIGHT WINDS, AND  
DRY AIR ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. SOME  
LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1/4 MILE OR  
LESS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY BUT CONFIDENCE IN  
OUR FICKLE FOG WILL KEEP ME FROM ISSUING ONE UNTIL WE SEE IF IT  
DECIDES TO DEVELOP.   
  
OTHERWISE, THE SHORT TERM FORECAST IS QUIET. TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE WARM TODAY AND SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S ALONG THE   
COAST TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE WEST UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY  
CLOUDY SKIES.   
  
FOR THOSE HEADING TO THE BEACH, THERE IS MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK  
IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH SWELL PERIODS OF AROUND 8-9S, NOT  
ONLY WITH THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INCREASE, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE  
FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. WE'LL KEEP MONITORING TO SEE IF WE  
START TO SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THESE WAVE PERIODS.  
  
  
   
LONG TERM  
  
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
  
FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST, THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL FEATURE A   
QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE A MID-   
LEVEL LOW SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS  
WILL RESULT IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGHOUT THE REST OF   
THE PERIOD.   
  
THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL SEND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH ACROSS   
THE REGION EARLY IN THE WEEK ON MONDAY. AROUND MID-WEEK A DRYLINE   
APPROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT THAT IT WILL  
MAKE IT ACROSS THE REGION. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, ANOTHER   
FRONT APPROACHES SOUTH TEXAS BUT MORE ON THAT WITH A FUTURE   
FORECAST PACKAGE.   
  
THERE ARE NO HAZARDS CURRENTLY EXPECTED FROM THE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES   
WHICH WILL MAINLY BE A WIND SHIFT. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT MONDAY,   
WEDNESDAY, AND THURSDAY WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS OF GENERALLY <15   
MPH. ALSO, WITH EACH FRONTAL PASSAGE, HAVE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN   
POPS BUT CHANCES ARE VERY LOW (<10%) THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.   
  
EXPECT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO RANGE IN THE 80S TO 90S.   
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH HIGHS FLIRTING WITH   
TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY. LOWS WILL RANGE   
60S WITH MUCH OF THE REGION ONLY DROPPING TO THE LOW 70S TUESDAY   
NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY.   
  
  
   
AVIATION  
  
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
  
VFR CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO ALL SITES AT THIS TIME AND WILL  
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. BY LATE  
EVENING INTO TONIGHT VCT WILL LIKELY PICK UP AN IFR TO LIFR CIG  
THAT WILL LAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. OTHER EASTERN SITES WILL ALSO  
DEVELOP A MAINLY IFR CIG A BIT LATER. FOG IS LIKELY OVER THE GULF  
WATERS AND IN THE BAYS, AND COULD SPREAD INLAND TO MAINLY CRP AND  
VCT SITES, BUT HAVE NOT INDICATED A SIGNIFICANT VIS RESTRICTION   
AT THIS TIME WITH WINDS REMAINING ELEVATED. CONDITIONS IMPROVE   
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. A BOUNDARY LOOKS TO MOVE TOWARD THE WESTERN  
TERMINALS AND WOULD LIKELY SHIFT WINDS NORTH AT THE END OF THE   
PERIOD.   
  
  
   
MARINE  
  
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
  
ELEVATED SEAS OF 6-7 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING  
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS, PROMPTING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY  
THROUGH 9 AM. A SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF   
3/4) BREEZE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE A WEAK   
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA MONDAY, TURNING WINDS TO THE WEST, THEN  
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. AN ONSHORE GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE  
RETURNS TUESDAY, STRENGTHENING TO A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4/5)   
BREEZE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE ARE NO CHANCES OF   
PRECIPITATION UNTIL NEXT SATURDAY.  
  
  
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
  
CORPUS CHRISTI    84  69  85  66 /   0  10   0   0   
VICTORIA          85  68  83  64 /   0   0  10   0   
LAREDO            93  69  94  66 /   0   0   0   0   
ALICE             88  68  89  65 /   0   0   0   0   
ROCKPORT          81  70  81  69 /   0   0  10   0   
COTULLA           92  69  93  66 /   0   0   0   0   
KINGSVILLE        87  69  89  66 /   0  10   0   0   
NAVY CORPUS       78  70  79  69 /   0  10  10   0   
  
  
   
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
  
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
  
  
  
  
SHORT TERM...LS/77  
LONG TERM....BF/80  
AVIATION...PH/83  
 
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