321
FXUS64 KCRP 241058
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
558 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
- HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 1 PM - 7 PM
- MODERATE TO EXTREME RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS (LEVEL 2/4 OUT
OF 4)TODAY AND SUNDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND
LEADING TO CLEARING SKIES AND INCREASING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST TO NEARLY 105
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY. WHILE MOISTURE WILL DIMINISH A BIT THIS
WEEKEND (PWAT VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 1.5"), HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGH
ENOUGH TO LEAD TO A MODERATE TO EXTREME HEAT RISK ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS. WHILE VERY MARGINAL, HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAINS FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO
111 TODAY. UNLESS SOMETHING CHANGES, ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY IS
LIKELY FOR SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH
COUNTRY.
PLEASE USE CAUTION IF OUTDOORS AND REMEMBER TO REMAIN HYDRATED AND
TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS. MORE HEAT SAFETY INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT
WEATHER.GOV/HEAT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- MODERATE TO EXTREME RISK OF HEAT RELATED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS ON MEMORIAL DAY.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALL NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL, THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR NEXT WEEK.
BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT, THERE WILL BE DAILY LOW TO AT TIMES MEDIUM
RAIN/STORM CHANCES (20-40%) DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SEVERAL
PASSING DISTURBANCES ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE.
ASIDE FROM THAT, EXPECT TWO MORE DAYS WITH MODERATE TO EXTREME
HEATRISK MONDAY/TUESDAY AFTERNOONS, FOLLOWED BY MODERATE TO MAJOR
LEVELS WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. OUT OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD, HEAT
INDICES WILL BE AT THEIR HIGHEST MONDAY/TUESDAY WITH VALUES IN THE
105-114 RANGE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA. HEAT ADVISORIES
COULD BE REQUIRED ON LATER PACKAGES, MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
BRUSH COUNTRY AND WESTERN COASTAL PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL RELAX
MID TO LATE WEEK, WITH VALUES GENERALLY AROUND 105-110.
**IF PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES EARLY NEXT WEEK, CLOSELY MONITOR
THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND PREPARE TO ADJUST PLANS TO ACCOMMODATE
FREQUENT BREAKS TO AVOID HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES. ALWAYS, PRACTICE
HEAT SAFETY: DRINK PLENTY OF WATER, WEAR LIGHTWEIGHT, LOOSE-FITTING
AND LIGHT-COLORED CLOTHING, AND APPLY SUNSCREEN. NEVER LEAVE ANYONE
IN A VEHICLE UNATTENDED AND DON'T FORGET TO CHECK THE BACKSEAT!
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 527 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
MVFR CEILINGS OVER THE EASTERN SITES (ALI, CRP, AND VCT) WILL LIFT
TO VFR BETWEEN 14Z AND 15Z. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
MIDDAY TO 12-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS. MVFR CEILINGS
WILL RETURN TONIGHT BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z FOR ALI, CRP, AND VCT. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE FOR COT AND LRD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
MODERATE SOUTHEAST FLOW (BF 4) WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE TO FRESH
(BF 4-5) LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A
GENERALLY MODERATE TO AT TIMES GENTLE (BF 3-4) BREEZE CAN THEN BE
EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A LOW TO
MEDIUM (20-35%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 94 80 93 80 / 10 10 10 0
VICTORIA 94 77 94 77 / 10 10 10 10
LAREDO 102 78 103 80 / 0 0 0 10
ALICE 99 77 98 78 / 10 10 10 0
ROCKPORT 88 80 88 80 / 10 10 10 0
COTULLA 104 78 104 80 / 0 0 0 10
KINGSVILLE 96 78 96 78 / 10 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 86 80 86 80 / 10 10 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR TXZ241>244.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....ANM/88
AVIATION...LS/77
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