192
FXUS64 KCRP 232324
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
624 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 616 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%)CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
A SERIES OF INVERTED TROUGHS MOVING WEST ACROSS S TX WILL MAINTAIN
AT LEAST A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF S TX THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE BEST CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHEN
MOISTURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE REGION. PWATS ARE FORECASTED TO INCREASE
UP TO 1.9 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE, MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL LEAD TO A LOW TO
MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUE-WED
TIMEFRAME. THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS HAS THE BEST CHANCE AT AROUND 50%.
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, RAIN CHANCES DROP TO
AROUND 20% ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND COASTAL BEND.
GENERALLY DRIVEN BY MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE MORNINGS AND THE SEA
BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOONS. NIGHTS WILL HAVE LOW 0-10% THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS AREA TERMINALS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT BEFORE FALLING TO MVFR LEVELS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A FEW
PASSING SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE CRP SITE, BUT THESE
WILL MOVE AWAY QUICKLY. THEREFORE, HAVE REFRAINED FROM ADDING IT
IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS IN THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IN
TIMING AND LOCATION IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO BE INCLUDED IN THE TAFS
AT THE MOMENT. SITES WILL RETURN TO VFR BY MID TUESDAY MORNING,
BUT LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS WILL ACCOMPANY ANY
STORM THAT DOES DEVELOP ON TUESDAY. BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO DECOUPLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL AGAIN INCREASE TO ABOVE 12
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KNOTS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
SEASONAL GENTLE TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THEN DECREASING TO A 10-40%
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 91 75 91 / 0 20 10 30
VICTORIA 74 90 74 90 / 0 40 10 50
LAREDO 75 97 74 97 / 10 10 0 10
ALICE 73 94 73 93 / 0 20 0 20
ROCKPORT 80 90 79 89 / 0 30 10 40
COTULLA 76 98 75 97 / 0 10 0 10
KINGSVILLE 75 92 74 92 / 0 20 10 20
NAVY CORPUS 80 88 79 88 / 0 20 10 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...ANM/88
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