221
FXUS64 KCRP 241752
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1252 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1217 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A MOIST (PWATS APPROACHING 2.0
INCHES) AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST
LIKELY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO
0.75 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
WHERE MOISTURE AVAILABILITY REMAINS HIGHEST.
BY LATE WEEK, A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN.
THIS WILL LIMIT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, THOUGH
ISOLATED ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST NEAR THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOWEST FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, RANGING FROM 10-30%, BEFORE ANOTHER PLUME OF MOISTURE
ARRIVES THIS WEEKEND. AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH THE
RISING PWATS (UP TO 2.2 INCHES) MAY BRING A SLIGHT UPTICK IN RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS BEGINNING
SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DESPITE THE DAILY STORM CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN CLOSE
TO LATE-JUNE NORMALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DAYTIME HIGHS
WILL REACH THE 90S, WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL STAY MILD AND MUGGY
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S INLAND TO NEAR 80 DEGF ALONG THE COAST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KNOTS.
THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE
REST OF TODAY. THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS, WHERE PRECIPITATION IS
ONGOING, HAS THE GREATEST CHANCES AS A PLUME OF HIGHER MOISTURE
HAS SETTLED OVER THE AREA. THEREFORE, HAVE PREVAILING -TSRA UNTIL
00Z. AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND LOCATION IS TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE MENTIONS OF PRECIPITATION AT OUR REMAINING SITES. IN TERMS
OF OTHER WEATHER, PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT, WITH
LIFR/IFR FOG DEVELOPING OVER ALI/VCT GENERALLY AFTER 08Z. MVFR
CIGS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY, MIXING OUT BY
MID- MORNING. AT WHICH TIME, RAIN CHANCES ARE SET TO INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. SO HAVE INCLUDED A PROB30
GROUP FROM BEGINNING AT 15Z TO MENTION -TSRA CHANCES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
SEASONAL GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-60%)
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY,
DECREASING TO A 10-40% CHANCE THROUGH SATURDAY, BEFORE CHANCES
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORK
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 91 76 91 / 10 20 10 20
VICTORIA 73 90 74 91 / 10 50 10 40
LAREDO 74 99 74 99 / 0 10 0 0
ALICE 73 94 73 94 / 0 20 0 10
ROCKPORT 79 89 80 89 / 10 40 10 20
COTULLA 76 99 75 99 / 0 10 0 10
KINGSVILLE 74 92 75 92 / 0 20 10 10
NAVY CORPUS 79 89 80 89 / 10 20 10 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...KRS/98
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