689
FXUS64 KCRP 250537
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1237 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A MOIST (PWATS APPROACHING 2.0 INCHES) AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST
LIKELY TIMEFRAME TO EXPECTED SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE LATE MORNING TO
AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SEA BREEZE. WHILE
ELEVATED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 0.75".
BY LATE WEEK, A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN
SOUTH TEXAS, DECREASING OUR RAIN CHANCES TO UNDER 20%. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN (20-50%) SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES HAS KEPT VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE EARLY THIS
MORNING. CALM WINDS IN ADDITION TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR
FOG DEVELOPMENT OVER THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS, IMPACTING VCT/ALI.
ALI WILL LIKELY BE MOST IMPACTED GIVEN WHAT THEY EXPERIENCED LAST
MORNING, WITH LIFR VSBYS MOST LIKELY BETWEEN 08-13Z. WE'LL NEED TO
KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON VCT, LESS CONFIDENT ON HOW DENSE FOG WILL BE FOR
THEM. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE MID-MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS, REFLECTED BY THE VCSH AND PROB30.
CHANCES ARE LESS ELSEWHERE AND HAVE LEFT OUT OF OTHER TERMINALS AT
THIS TIME.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-55%) RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED EACH
AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE DECREASING TO UNDER 30%
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 91 76 91 76 / 30 10 20 10
VICTORIA 89 73 91 73 / 70 10 40 0
LAREDO 98 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 93 73 93 73 / 20 0 20 0
ROCKPORT 88 80 89 79 / 40 20 30 10
COTULLA 98 75 99 75 / 10 0 10 0
KINGSVILLE 92 74 91 74 / 20 0 20 10
NAVY CORPUS 88 80 88 79 / 30 10 30 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...EMF/94
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