594
FXUS64 KCRP 251109
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
609 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 604 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A MOIST (PWATS APPROACHING 2.0 INCHES) AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST
LIKELY TIMEFRAME TO EXPECTED SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE LATE MORNING TO
AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SEA BREEZE. WHILE
ELEVATED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 0.75".
BY LATE WEEK, A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN
SOUTH TEXAS, DECREASING OUR RAIN CHANCES TO UNDER 20%. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN (20-50%) SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
LIFR VSBY CONTINUES OVER ALI WITH MVFR VSBY OVER VCT. CEILINGS
HAVE REMAINED PRIMARILY VFR THIS MORNING WITH MVFR CEILINGS
DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL BY 15-16Z ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS SUSTAINED 10-15 KNOTS AND GUSTS TO 20-25 KNOTS. THERE IS A
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TODAY,
MAINLY ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS BETWEEN 15-21Z. ONLY
MENTION OF CONVECTION REMAINS CONFINED TO VCT DUE TO HIGHER
CONFIDENCE, OTHER SITES SUCH AS CRP/ALI WILL BE AMENDED AS
NECESSARY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS AGAIN NEAR THE END
OF THE PERIOD WILL POSE ANOTHER THREAT FOR LIFR VSBY FOR ALI.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-55%) RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED EACH
AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE DECREASING TO UNDER 30%
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 91 76 91 76 / 30 10 20 10
VICTORIA 89 73 91 73 / 70 10 40 0
LAREDO 98 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 93 73 93 73 / 20 0 20 0
ROCKPORT 88 80 89 79 / 40 20 30 10
COTULLA 98 75 99 75 / 10 0 10 0
KINGSVILLE 92 74 91 74 / 20 0 20 10
NAVY CORPUS 88 80 88 79 / 30 10 30 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...EMF/94
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