762
FXUS64 KCRP 252306
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
606 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 604 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TOMORROW AND
SUNDAY/MONDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES WILL TREND LOWER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY (~20%).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
A HUMID AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LOW TO
MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TOMORROW. MOST ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN
NATURE, FAVORING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
THE ASSISTANCE OF SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS. RAINFALL COVERAGE WILL
REMAIN HIT-OR-MISS, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL OF MEASURABLE RAIN
OCCURRING ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE IS
PRESENT. WHILE MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL
ACCUMULATION, LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS APPROACHING 0.75 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE WHERE MOISTURE AVAILABILITY REMAINS HIGHEST.
RAIN CHANCES WILL TREND LOWER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY (~20%) AS
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION IN THE FORM OF A PLUME
OF SAHARAN DUST, LEADING TO HAZY SKIES AND A MORE LIMITED COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. ISOLATED ACTIVITY IS ONLY FORECAST NEAR
THE COAST AS TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. ANOTHER
UPTICK IN MOISTURE (PWATS APPROACHING 2.0 INCHES) IS EXPECTED BY
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES IN,
REINTRODUCING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES (20-50%) ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAINS AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS.
DESPITE THE DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
CLOSE TO NORMAL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL
TOP OUT IN THE 90S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES CLIMBING INTO THE
100-105 DEGF RANGE WHERE RAIN IS ABSENT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL STAY
MILD AND MUGGY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S INLAND TO NEAR 80 DEGF ALONG
THE COAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH ACTIVITY
QUICKLY DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET. A COUPLE OF SITES COULD DROP TO
MVFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH ALI EXPECTED TO BE THE SITE TO BE
IMPACTED THE MOST, DROPPING TO AS LOW AS IFR/LIFR. ALL SITES
SHOULD REBOUND TO VFR CONDITIONS TOMORROW MORNING AS WINDS
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN AROUND 16-19Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-60%) RAIN CHANCES ARE ALSO
FORECAST EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE DECREASING TO UNDER
30% BY TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 91 76 92 / 10 20 0 10
VICTORIA 74 91 73 92 / 10 50 0 20
LAREDO 75 98 75 98 / 10 10 0 0
ALICE 73 93 73 94 / 0 20 0 10
ROCKPORT 79 89 80 90 / 20 30 10 20
COTULLA 76 98 76 99 / 10 10 0 0
KINGSVILLE 74 92 74 93 / 0 20 0 10
NAVY CORPUS 79 88 80 89 / 20 30 10 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...JCP/84
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