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FXUS64 KCRP 281101
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
601 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 600 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-65%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURN SUNDAY AND MONDAY
- RAIN CHANCES DECREASE TO A LOW (15-30%) CHANCE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
NOT MUCH CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGES. RAIN CHANCES ARE
STILL EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND WITH SUNDAY GIVING US
OUR BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN. SUNDAY WILL YIELD LOW TO MEDIUM (20-65%)
RAIN CHANCES WITH RAIN CHANCES DECREASING SLIGHTLY MONDAY TO 20-50%.
WHILE RAIN CHANCES WILL DROP AFTER MONDAY, THERE WILL BE STILL BE A
LOW (15-30%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON WITH THE
SEABREEZE. WARM CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAKING BETWEEN
100-109 DEGREES DAILY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
PATCHY FOG HAS LED TO BRIEF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS AT ALI. MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED BRIEFLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE VCT
AREA. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS S TX THROUGH
MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. SAHARAN DUST WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS S TX
TODAY AND SUNDAY, LEADING TO HAZY CONDITIONS, BUT VSBYS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN 6SM OR HIGHER. A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, THE SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
CREATE ANY SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS AND WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN
THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. RAIN CHANCES DO INCREASE SUNDAY, MAINLY FOR
CRP, ALI AND VCT, AND MAY LEAD TO PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR ON SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE BY MID TO LATE
MORNING WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT SAT JUN 28 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT
WEEK. HIGH (70-85%) RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH RAIN
CHANCES DECREASING TO MEDIUM CHANCES (50-60%) MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES
BEYOND MONDAY WILL DECREASE EVEN FURTHER WITH ONLY LOW CHANCES (15-
30%) TUESDAY THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 92 77 90 77 / 0 10 60 20
VICTORIA 92 74 89 75 / 10 10 70 20
LAREDO 99 76 97 76 / 0 0 20 0
ALICE 94 74 92 74 / 10 0 50 20
ROCKPORT 90 80 89 80 / 10 20 60 30
COTULLA 101 77 99 77 / 0 0 20 10
KINGSVILLE 93 76 90 76 / 10 10 50 20
NAVY CORPUS 89 80 88 80 / 10 20 70 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
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