736
FXUS64 KCRP 291747
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1247 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-65%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND MONDAY
- RAIN CHANCES DECREASE TO A LOW (15-30%) CHANCE EACH AFTERNOON
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. LOW TO MEDIUM
(20-65%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE,
MAINLY ACROSS AND EAST OF THE COASTAL PLAINS, THROUGH THIS EVENING
BEFORE DECREASING OVERNIGHT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL PICK BACK
UP MONDAY MORNING WITH A LOW TO MEDIUM (30-65%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING FURTHER WEST INTO THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. WHILE NOT EXPECTED, THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE COULD LEAD
TO HEAVY RAINFALL IN AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS. PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
STORMS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH CHANCES FALLING BELOW 15%
BY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS WEEK,
APPROACHING 100 BY LATE THIS WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
NEAR 110 AT TIMES SO WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR HEAT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AS A BOUNDARY PUSHES ASHORE WILL
LEAD TO BRIEF PERIODS OF GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KNOTS. THERE IS A LOW
TO MEDIUM (20-60%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY,
MAINLY EAST OF DUVAL AND LIVE OAK COUNTIES. CHANCES WILL DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT, BEFORE RETURNING MONDAY WHILE SPREADING TO THE
WEST. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE OCCURRENCE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WHERE MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) WINDS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY HAVE LED TO
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS. THERE IS A MODERATE TO
HIGH (40-80%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
MONDAY, WHICH COULD LEAD TO STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS. MARINERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION WHEN OUT ON THE WATERS. CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
STORMS WILL DIMINISH TO A LOW (15-30%) CHANCE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME TO GENTLE TO
MODERATE (BF 3-4) THROUGH THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 91 76 90 / 30 60 20 30
VICTORIA 75 92 73 93 / 10 50 10 20
LAREDO 76 94 75 93 / 10 40 20 30
ALICE 73 91 72 93 / 30 60 20 30
ROCKPORT 80 89 80 90 / 20 50 20 30
COTULLA 76 96 76 96 / 10 40 20 30
KINGSVILLE 75 89 75 90 / 40 60 30 30
NAVY CORPUS 80 89 80 88 / 30 60 30 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77
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