829
FXUS64 KCRP 292316
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
616 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 609 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-65%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND MONDAY
- RAIN CHANCES DECREASE TO A LOW (15-30%) CHANCE EACH AFTERNOON
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. LOW TO MEDIUM
(20-65%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE,
MAINLY ACROSS AND EAST OF THE COASTAL PLAINS, THROUGH THIS EVENING
BEFORE DECREASING OVERNIGHT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL PICK BACK
UP MONDAY MORNING WITH A LOW TO MEDIUM (30-65%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING FURTHER WEST INTO THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. WHILE NOT EXPECTED, THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE COULD LEAD
TO HEAVY RAINFALL IN AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS. PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
STORMS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH CHANCES FALLING BELOW 15%
BY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS WEEK,
APPROACHING 100 BY LATE THIS WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
NEAR 110 AT TIMES SO WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR HEAT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS RAIN
CHANCES DECREASE TO UNDER 10%. AS THE SUN COMES UP TOMORROW AFTER
12Z, A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS RAIN
CHANCES WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO IMPACT MOST SITES. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BEGIN BETWEEN
08-12Z TRANSITIONING TO THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 12-16Z AND
PERSISTING THROUGH 21-23Z. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND
AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORM.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2025
MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) WINDS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY HAVE LED TO
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS. THERE IS A MODERATE TO
HIGH (40-80%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
MONDAY, WHICH COULD LEAD TO STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS. MARINERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION WHEN OUT ON THE WATERS. CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
STORMS WILL DIMINISH TO A LOW (15-30%) CHANCE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME TO GENTLE TO
MODERATE (BF 3-4) THROUGH THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 90 76 90 / 30 60 30 30
VICTORIA 75 90 73 92 / 10 40 10 20
LAREDO 76 90 74 90 / 10 50 20 40
ALICE 73 89 72 91 / 30 60 20 30
ROCKPORT 80 89 79 90 / 20 50 20 20
COTULLA 76 94 75 94 / 10 40 20 40
KINGSVILLE 75 87 73 89 / 40 70 30 30
NAVY CORPUS 80 87 79 88 / 30 60 30 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...JCP/84
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