607
FXUS64 KCRP 300520
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1220 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
- MEDIUM TO HIGH (45-80%) CHANCES FOR RAIN TODAY DECREASING TO LOW
TO MEDIUM (25-50%) TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
- RAIN CHANCES DECREASE TO UNDER A 20% CHANCE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
VERY LITTLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. MEDIUM TO HIGH RAIN CHANCES (45-
80%) ARE STILL EXPECTED TODAY DUE TO THE INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING AS EARLY AS EARLY THIS
MORNING. LOW TO MEDIUM (25-50%) RAIN CHANCES WILL HANG AROUND
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO. WHILE FLASH FLOODING ISN'T EXPECTED
WITH THIS ACTIVITY, PONDING OF WATER CAN'T BE RULED OUT DUE TO THE
HIGH RAINFALL RATES THAT THIS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE USUALLY
PRODUCES. WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND AROUND ANY
THUNDERSTORM. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE TO UNDER 20% WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TAKING AN EARLY LOOK AT INDEPENDENCE
DAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE CURRENTLY SLIM WITH A LESS THAN 10% CHANCE OF
RAIN. WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAKING BETWEEN 100-
109 DEGREES DAILY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS S TX, WILL BEGIN TO LOWER TO A MIX
OF VFR/MVFR ACROSS ALI AND CRP AS SHOWERS MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS ALL OF S TX THROUGH 15Z, LEADING TO A MIX OF
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY. BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN HEAVIER RAINFALL. THE CHANCE FOR CONVECTION
IS HIGH (60-80%), THEREFORE HAVE GONE WITH PREVAILING TSRA FOR ALL
TAF SITES BASED ON BEST EXPECTED TIMING. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
TO WANE BY MONDAY EVENING WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT AND A MIX OF MVFR AND VFR. HAZE IS ALSO EXPECTED AS
SAHARAN DUST MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
HIGH (60-80%) RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TODAY DECREASING TO LOW TO
MEDIUM (25-45%) MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 89 76 90 77 / 60 30 40 20
VICTORIA 91 73 91 73 / 50 10 20 10
LAREDO 90 74 89 75 / 60 30 50 20
ALICE 89 72 89 73 / 70 30 40 20
ROCKPORT 89 79 89 80 / 60 20 30 20
COTULLA 93 75 91 76 / 60 20 50 20
KINGSVILLE 88 74 88 75 / 70 30 40 20
NAVY CORPUS 88 79 88 81 / 60 30 40 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
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