861
FXUS64 KCRP 230540
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1240 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1238 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2025
- GENERALLY MODERATE HEAT RISK ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY WILL HAVE A MAJOR RISK WITH
MAX HEAT INDICES AROUND 110 AT TIMES.
- LOW TO MEDIUM(30-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
RETURNS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST/VICTORIA CROSSROADS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2025
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST THROUGH LATE THIS
WEEK, BRINGING HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. WHILE STILL HUMID, THE PWAT
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 1.3-1.5 (AROUND THE 50 PERCENTILE) WHICH WILL
KEEP THE HEAT RISK DOWN TO A MAINLY MODERATE RISK, BRIEFLY REACHING
MAJOR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY.
BY FRIDAY, TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF INTEREST FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT (10% CHANCE) WILL APPROACH SOUTH TEXAS,
INCREASING PWAT VALUES TO A WHOPPING 2.1-2.4" (+3SD ABOVE NORMAL).
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE (30-50%), ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND ALONG THE COAST. WITH THESE HIGH PWAT
VALUES, WPC HAS INCLUDED PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS IN A MARGINAL RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2025
A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IN THE AVIATION FORECAST. PRIMARILY VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD, BUT A BRIEF PERIOD TOWARD MORNING
WHERE SITES COULD SEE CIGS DROP TO MVFR FOR A COUPLE HOURS. BREEZY
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RETURN DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) SOUTHEAST BREEZE AND 2-3 FT SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (30-50%) ALONG THE TEXAS
COASTLINE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 94 76 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 97 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 105 76 105 76 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 99 74 101 73 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 91 80 92 79 / 0 0 0 10
COTULLA 104 75 104 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 95 75 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 89 80 90 79 / 0 0 0 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...PH/83
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