076
FXUS64 KCRP 020504
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1204 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES
TODAY.
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT RELATED IMPACTS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY AS
A WEAK BOUNDARY DRIFTS SOUTHWARD. POPS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
20-40% ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS TO 15-30% FARTHER INLAND BEFORE
A DRIER AIRMASS TAKES HOLD BY THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL BRING
LOWER RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING MIDWEEK ALONG WITH A RETURN TO HOTTER
AFTERNOONS. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID-90S ALONG THE COAST AND
NEAR/ABOVE 100 DEGF ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WHILE OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID-70S ACROSS THE REGION.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE HEAT SAFETY AS THESE
SUMMERLIKE CONDITIONS PERSIST.
LOOKING AHEAD, ATTENTION SHIFTS TOWARDS THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
GLOBAL GUIDANCE INDICATES ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE
AREA, AIDED BY MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF. WHILE THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING AND TRACK, AN UPTICK IN
RAIN CHANCES APPEARS IN THE CARDS BEGINNING SATURDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE REMAINS LOW, AND MORE TIME WILL BE NEEDED TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN ORDER TO REFINE THIS FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH LITTLE CONVECTION POTENTIAL.
HAVE ADDED PROB30 FOR LRD LATE IN THE NIGHT AS A MINOR SHORT WAVE
PASSES BY. WITH LINGERING MOISTURE ON TUESDAY, HAVE MAINTAINED PROBS
FOR CONVECTION FOR ALI/LRD/CRP SITES. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A LOW TO MEDIUM
(30-60%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
BEFORE CHANCES DIMINISH THIS EVENING. ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME
LATE WEDNESDAY/EARLY THURSDAY. THIS MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF
WILL HELP TO INFLUENCE THE INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES THIS UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 92 76 92 75 / 50 30 30 0
VICTORIA 91 73 94 70 / 50 40 10 0
LAREDO 98 77 98 75 / 30 40 30 0
ALICE 94 74 95 72 / 30 30 30 0
ROCKPORT 90 77 92 77 / 40 50 20 0
COTULLA 93 76 98 74 / 30 30 10 0
KINGSVILLE 94 74 93 73 / 50 40 30 0
NAVY CORPUS 89 79 89 80 / 60 40 30 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...PH/83
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page