835
FXUS64 KCRP 021127
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
627 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 604 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES
TODAY.
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT RELATED IMPACTS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY AS
A WEAK BOUNDARY DRIFTS SOUTHWARD. POPS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND
20-40% ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS TO 15-30% FARTHER INLAND BEFORE
A DRIER AIRMASS TAKES HOLD BY THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL BRING
LOWER RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING MIDWEEK ALONG WITH A RETURN TO HOTTER
AFTERNOONS. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID-90S ALONG THE COAST AND
NEAR/ABOVE 100 DEGF ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WHILE OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID-70S ACROSS THE REGION.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE HEAT SAFETY AS THESE
SUMMERLIKE CONDITIONS PERSIST.
LOOKING AHEAD, ATTENTION SHIFTS TOWARDS THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
GLOBAL GUIDANCE INDICATES ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE
AREA, AIDED BY MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF. WHILE THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING AND TRACK, AN UPTICK IN
RAIN CHANCES APPEARS IN THE CARDS BEGINNING SATURDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE REMAINS LOW, AND MORE TIME WILL BE NEEDED TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN ORDER TO REFINE THIS FORECAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025
SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS MORNING ARE SOUTH OF ALL TERMINALS AND
MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND NOT EXPECTING MUCH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE MORNING. COULD SEE A BIT OF DAYTIME
HEATING ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON, WHILE CHANCES ARE PRETTY SMALL
EVERYWHERE, ENOUGH OF A CHANCE AT CRP TO INCLUDE MENTION IN TAF.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A LOW TO MEDIUM
(30-60%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
BEFORE CHANCES DIMINISH THIS EVENING. ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME
LATE WEDNESDAY/EARLY THURSDAY. THIS MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF
WILL HELP TO INFLUENCE THE INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES THIS UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 93 75 97 74 / 30 0 0 0
VICTORIA 95 71 97 71 / 20 0 0 0
LAREDO 99 75 102 76 / 20 0 0 0
ALICE 96 73 99 72 / 30 10 0 0
ROCKPORT 93 77 94 78 / 30 0 0 0
COTULLA 99 74 101 74 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 94 73 97 72 / 40 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 90 80 91 79 / 40 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...PH/83
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