296
FXUS64 KCRP 101120
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
620 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 614 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN/STORM CHANCES TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
NOT MUCH OF A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE WITH HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUING TO BUILD ALOFT. A FEW DISTURBANCES WILL STILL BE
ABLE TO TRACK IN THE UPPER FLOW, WHICH COMBINED WITH GULF MOISTURE
WILL PROVIDE LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES (20-50%)
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH STILL BELIEVING THE NBM IS
OVERDOING POPS, HAVE ALLOWED SLIGHTLY HIGHER PROBABILITIES
(60-70%) TO ENTER THE FORECAST LATE THIS WEEK MAINLY OVER THE
MARINE ZONES IN PAR WITH A PERSISTENCE PATTERN. CHANCES INLAND
WILL BE AT THEIR HIGHEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE DROPPING BELOW
A 35% OVER THE WEEKEND. IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES, THESE WILL
GENERALLY BE NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT
WEEK WITH MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES REMAINING BELOW 105 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
LOW CHANCES FOR PATCHY FOG EXIST IN AREAS WITH CALM WINDS LIKE
VCT, BUT THIS SHOULD BURN UP AS DAYTIME HEATING GETS GOING. ASIDE
FROM THIS, EXPECT MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. AFTER
MIDNIGHT, A LOW CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CLEAR
SKIES OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THIS WEEK ACROSS
THE GULF WATERS WITH MEDIUM TO HIGH (40-70%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND,
RAIN CHANCES WILL DROP TO 20-35%.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 92 76 93 77 / 20 10 40 20
VICTORIA 95 71 95 71 / 0 0 30 0
LAREDO 98 73 99 75 / 20 0 30 10
ALICE 95 71 95 72 / 20 10 40 10
ROCKPORT 91 78 92 78 / 10 10 50 30
COTULLA 97 71 97 74 / 0 0 20 0
KINGSVILLE 92 72 93 75 / 30 10 50 20
NAVY CORPUS 89 81 90 81 / 20 20 50 50
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...AE/82
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