361
FXUS64 KCRP 101817
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
117 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1224 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER TEXAS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND WILL HELP LIMIT RAIN DEVELOPMENT
OVER MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA. THAT BEING SAID, WE MIGHT SEE SOME
DISTURBANCES AND VORT MAXES ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY,
ALONG WITH SMALL PULSES OF WARM MOIST AIR MOVING IN FROM THE GULF.
THUS, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE COASTAL BEND AND FURTHER INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY.
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN, ALTHOUGH SOME COASTAL LOCATIONS COULD SEE PASSING SHOWERS FROM
TIME TO TIME. THERE MIGHT BE ANOTHER PULSE OF WARM MOISTURE AIR
FROM THE GULF PUSHING IN EARLY NEXT WEEK AND COULD LEAD TO A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WITH RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES, THE HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID
TO UPPER 90S OVER THE INLAND PORTIONS AND IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S
OVER THE COASTAL LOCATIONS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS IS
ROUGHLY 2 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S.
COTTO (HGX WFO)
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL BE E-ESE AT 6-12 KTS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT, THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VRB LATE TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING. THERE COULD BE
SOME AREAS OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING FROM AROUND 10-14Z AND MAY
LEAD TO LOWER VIS/CIGS DURING THAT PERIOD. FOG, IF ANY, IS
EXPECTED TO BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER 14Z. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE
E-ESE AT 5-10 KTS BY LATE THU MORNING.
COTTO (HGX WFO)
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF WATERS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE
IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH (40-60%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH FRIDAY. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, RAIN CHANCES WILL
DROP TO 20-30% IN RESPONSE TO DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION.
RAIN CHANCES COULD INCREASE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
COTTO (HGX WFO)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 92 77 92 / 10 30 20 40
VICTORIA 71 95 70 96 / 0 30 0 20
LAREDO 74 98 75 97 / 10 30 10 30
ALICE 72 95 73 95 / 0 30 20 40
ROCKPORT 78 92 78 92 / 10 30 30 30
COTULLA 72 97 74 97 / 0 0 10 30
KINGSVILLE 73 93 75 93 / 10 40 20 50
NAVY CORPUS 81 89 81 89 / 10 40 40 40
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...COTTO (HGX WFO)
AVIATION...COTTO (HGX WFO)
MARINE...COTTO (HGX WFO)
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