267
FXUS64 KCRP 111049
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
549 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 544 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
- NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN FIRM CONTROL
OVER SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE ZONAL FLOW RETURNS EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE PRESENCE OF THIS RIDGE WILL HELP LIMIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, HOWEVER, A WEAK SHORTWAVE
AND AREAS OF POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL RIDE THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE FRIDAY PROMOTING MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCES FOR
RAIN ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS EXCEPT FOR THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS.
OUR NEXT BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL THEN RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
LOW TO MEDIUM (30-50%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 544 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS TAF CYCLE.
PERIODIC PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SITES UNTIL ABOUT 15Z WHILE THE EASTERN SITES EXPERIENCE
A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13-21Z. WINDS
WILL INCREASE A BIT THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5)
DEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND BEFORE MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES RETURN ONCE AGAIN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 92 77 92 77 / 30 20 50 10
VICTORIA 95 71 95 70 / 20 0 10 0
LAREDO 99 74 96 74 / 10 10 60 10
ALICE 96 73 94 72 / 20 10 50 10
ROCKPORT 91 79 92 79 / 30 20 30 10
COTULLA 97 74 95 73 / 10 0 40 0
KINGSVILLE 94 74 92 72 / 30 20 50 10
NAVY CORPUS 89 80 89 82 / 30 40 50 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...JCP/84
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