880
FXUS64 KCRP 112339
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
639 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 632 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
- NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY
AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
A MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY CENTERED ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE, WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS N TX THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS
IT MOVES EAST ON FRIDAY, A SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWEST
AROUND SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH. THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE
WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY. THE HIGHER POPS (30-50%) WILL
BE MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND TO SOUTHERN WEBB COUNTY
WHERE THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO BE LOCATED. THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS IS THE LEAST LIKELY TO HAVE RAIN WITH A DRIER AIRMASS IN
PLACE. THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO BE DRIER WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE
BECOMING MORE DOMINANT, BUT A LOW (5-20%) CHANCE OF RAIN CONTINUES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA WITH LIMITED MOISTURE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
EACH DAY. THE MID LEVEL HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER ACROSS TX WITH
EMBEDDED SHORT WAVES TRACKING ACROSS S TX. THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN
CHANCES MONDAY WITH THE BETTER CHANCES (20-50%) EXPECTED TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
CONDITIONS OVER NIGHT SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET WITH SOME ENCROACHING
MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK AT THE WESTERN TERMINALS
(LRD,COT). THIS IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY RETURN TO MVFR CONDITIONS AT THOSE SITES IN ADDITION TO
CRP AND ALI DUE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CLEAR OUT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING ACROSS THE
REGION THERE AFTER.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE WIND CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE BRIEF PERIODS
OF A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5)ACROSS THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS EACH
AFTERNOON. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY, BECOMING LOW (10-30%) OVER
THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ONCE AGAIN NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 92 76 92 / 20 30 10 10
VICTORIA 70 96 70 95 / 0 0 0 10
LAREDO 75 97 75 98 / 10 40 10 20
ALICE 73 95 71 95 / 10 30 10 10
ROCKPORT 79 92 79 92 / 20 20 10 10
COTULLA 75 97 72 97 / 0 20 0 10
KINGSVILLE 74 93 73 93 / 10 40 10 20
NAVY CORPUS 81 89 81 89 / 30 30 10 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...NP/92
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page