203
FXUS64 KCRP 140514
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1214 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1141 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
- INCREASING RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE AT NIGHT
THROUGH THE LATTER PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK
- DAILY LOW TO MEDIUM (20-40%) SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
THE FORECAST IS CONTINUING TO REMAIN ON TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS
ISSUANCE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO PROGRESS TO
THE EAST. CHANCES ARE STILL PROGGED TO INCREASE AS MOISTURE FILTERS
BACK INTO THE REGION BEGINNING MONDAY. SOME SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED
TO RIDE THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE COUPLED WITH THE DAILY
SEABREEZE, WILL LEAD TO A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEK. THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP WILL
BE AROUND MID WEEK (WED. AND THUR.) CHANCES DECREASE AT THE
CONCLUSION OF THE WEEK.
WE WILL STILL BE KEEPING AN EYE OUT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. P-ETSS IS CONTINUING
TO INDICATE SEAS TO BE AROUND 2 FEET MSL THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF
NEXT WEEK AT THE ARANSAS PASS GAUGE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE
COUPLED WITH A PERSISTING SOUTHEASTERLY FETCH DURING THE HIGH TIDE
CYCLES. WILL HAVE TO KEEP MONITORING THIS DUE TO THE HISTORY OF
THIS PRODUCING WAVE RUN UP AT THE BEACHES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS TAF CYCLE.
THERE WILL BE A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR MVFR CEILINGS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE WESTERN SITES AND A LOW CHANCE FOR MVFR VISIBILITIES
ACROSS ALI AND VCT. WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TOMORROW NIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
EXPECT EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY MODERATE BREEZE CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST DURING THE DAY AND GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT PERIODS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THERE WILL BE A
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-50%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEXT
WEEK. SEAS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 FEET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 92 76 92 / 0 10 10 30
VICTORIA 70 95 69 95 / 0 10 0 10
LAREDO 75 98 74 98 / 0 10 0 20
ALICE 72 95 71 95 / 0 10 10 30
ROCKPORT 79 91 78 91 / 0 20 20 20
COTULLA 74 97 72 96 / 0 0 0 10
KINGSVILLE 73 93 72 92 / 0 10 10 30
NAVY CORPUS 81 89 80 89 / 10 20 30 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84
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