553
FXUS64 KCRP 021103
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
503 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 459 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 5) OF SEVERE
WEATHER OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS.
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WORKWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
WITH THE WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH YESTERDAY EVENING/OVERNIGHT, NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. BY
MIDWEEK HOWEVER, ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN AND SO WILL THE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NO RELIEF UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. APART
FROM NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 459 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT NORTH-
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AND
MOST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
ACROSS OUR EASTERNMOST SITES AND SOUTHEASTERLY FOR TERMINALS
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY (LRD AND COT) BY EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
A STRONG BREEZE (BF 6) IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IN THE
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
RELAX TO A MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE (BF 4-5) AND A GENTLE TO
MODERATE (BF 3-4) BREEZE SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE 20-30%
RANGE ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
THAT EXTREME LOW POINT WILL ONLY LAST FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS BEFORE THEY
START TO RECOVER. APART FROM THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS,
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 75-89TH PERCENTILE.
HOWEVER, WITH WINDS BEING LIGHT AND THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ONLY EXPECTED FOR A COUPLE HOURS, WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO DODGE
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 54 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 77 46 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 79 54 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 79 50 82 52 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 77 60 78 63 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 78 50 82 52 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 78 51 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 74 65 76 67 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-237-
250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...KRS/98
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