070
FXUS64 KCRP 031103
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
503 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 450 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON
DECK LATE THIS WEEK
- DRY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURNING WEDNESDAY. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURN ONCE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK BEHIND OUR NEXT COLD FRONT. APART
FROM NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 450 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE
EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL RETURN TO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. REMOVED THE
MENTION OF MVFR VSBYS THIS MORNING AT VCT DUE TO PATCHY FOG AS
PROBABILITIES HAVE DECREASED THIS CYCLE. PROBABILITIES LOOK BETTER
FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT AT OUR EASTERNMOST TERMINALS TOWARDS THE END
OF THIS TAF PERIOD PERHAPS OWING TO THE SLIGHT UPTICK IN MOISTURE
FROM THE TURN TO ONSHORE FLOW THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE
STILL REMAINS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO INCLUDE MENTION IN THE TAFS
THIS CYCLE. WILL REEVALUATE DURING THE NEXT ISSUANCE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW
THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE INCREASING TO A MODERATE BREEZE (BF 4)
THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH
SATURDAY BEFORE LOW CHANCES (15-20%) FOR RAIN RETURN SUNDAY ACROSS
THE GULF WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
LOWER THAN NORMAL MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW
(20-30% ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY) AS WELL AS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY (25-
30% ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY). APART FROM THE LOWER THAN NORMAL
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY, ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT (ERC) VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM THE 80-90TH PERCENTILE TOMORROW AND 70-85TH
PERCENTILES LATE THIS WEEK ACROSS THE AREA WHERE THE LOWEST HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE LOCATED. WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BELOW
CRITICAL LEVELS WITH MODERATE TO HIGH ERC VALUES, WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO ONLY RANGE FROM 5-10 MPH WITH THE FORECAST LEANING TOWARDS THE
LOWER END OF THE RANGE FOR MOST OF THE DAY. THEREFORE, THE LIGHT
WINDS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO NEGATE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 60 80 60 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 79 49 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 83 56 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 82 54 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 78 64 79 65 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 82 53 84 56 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 80 56 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 76 68 78 68 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...KRS/98
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