705
FXUS64 KCRP 041118
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
518 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 507 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURNING WEDNESDAY
- DRY THROUGH SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
WE'LL HAVE ONE MORE DAY OF NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES BEFORE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN WEDNESDAY. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURN ONCE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK BEHIND OUR NEXT COLD FRONT. APART
FROM THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL DURING MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD.
REDUCED VSBYS DUE TO PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS AT VCT BEFORE LIFTING BACK TO VFR LEVELS SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING
BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL RETURN TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR EASTERNMOST
TERMINALS. INCLUDED THE MENTION OF REDUCED VSBYS AT VCT TO LIFR
LEVELS DUE TO PROBABILITIES BEING GREATEST THERE AND THE CURRENT
PRESENCE OF FOG. CONFIDENCE STILL REMAINS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO
INCLUDE MENTION IN THE ALI AND CRP TAFS THIS CYCLE. WILL
REEVALUATE DURING THE NEXT ISSUANCE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY BEFORE INCREASING TO A MODERATE BREEZE (BF 4) THURSDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITH SLIM CHANCES (LESS THAN 5%) FOR RAIN DAILY THROUGH SATURDAY
BEFORE LOW CHANCES (15-20%) FOR RAIN RETURN SUNDAY ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY, WHERE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO THE 25-30% RANGE ACROSS THE
BRUSH COUNTRY WHICH LIES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. ENERGY RELEASE
COMPONENT (ERC) VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE 70-85TH PERCENTILE
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH MODERATE ERC
VALUES WILL BE PRESENT WITH THE BELOW NORMAL MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAK ENOUGH TO NEGATE
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 80 60 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 81 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 85 60 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 84 55 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 79 65 81 67 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 84 56 87 58 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 82 57 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 78 68 80 69 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...KRS/98
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