361
FXUS64 KCRP 050601
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1201 AM CST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS BACK MORE SEASONAL TEMPS
- DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
THE FORECAST IS CONTINUING TO REMAIN ON TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS
ISSUANCE. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING BACK THOSE ENJOYABLE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, AND GIVES US SOMETHING TO LOOK FORWARD TO AT
LEAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THIS TAF
CYCLE. PERIODS OF MVFR TO LIFR VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT EASTERN
TERMINALS (ALI,CRP,VCT) DUE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY TO DENSE
FOG ALONG THE COASTAL PLAINS BETWEEN 07-14Z. ANY FOG THAT DOES
DEVELOP WILL MIX OUT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE, GIVING WAY TO CLEAR
SKIES THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD, WITH SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
OF 5-10 KNOTS DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST BREEZE IS EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (15-25%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BELOW 30% FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS (RH VALUES 15-25%) EXPECTED ON
MONDAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. ERC VALUES WILL BE HIGH (70-85TH
PERCENTILE) THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN THRESHOLDS,
NEGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. REGARDLESS, THERE IS STILL SOME
CONCERN THIS WEEKEND AND MONDAY, SO CAUTION IS URGED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 60 83 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 55 83 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 59 87 61 89 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 57 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 66 80 67 81 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 57 87 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 57 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 67 79 68 80 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...KRS/98
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