319
FXUS64 KCRP 051113
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
513 AM CST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 500 AM CST WED NOV 5 2025
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS BACK MORE SEASONAL TEMPS
- DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
THE FORECAST IS CONTINUING TO REMAIN ON TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS
ISSUANCE. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING BACK THOSE ENJOYABLE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, AND GIVES US SOMETHING TO LOOK FORWARD TO AT
LEAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 500 AM CST WED NOV 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THIS TAF
CYCLE. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR TO LIFR VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
EASTERN TERMINALS (ALI,CRP,VCT) THE NEXT FEW HOURS DUE TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY TO DENSE FOG, THOUGH CHANCES ARE LOWER
COMPARED TO PREVIOUS TAF ISSUANCE. ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL
MIX OUT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE, GIVING WAY TO CLEAR SKIES THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PERIOD, WITH SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 5-10 KNOTS
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN MUCH
BETTER AGREEMENT OF FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR EASTERN TERMINALS. ONCE AGAIN
EXPECTING PERIODS OF MVFR TO LIFR VSBYS TOWARDS THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST BREEZE IS EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (15-25%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BELOW 30% FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS (RH VALUES 15-25%) EXPECTED ON
MONDAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. ERC VALUES WILL BE HIGH (70-85TH
PERCENTILE) THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN THRESHOLDS,
NEGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. REGARDLESS, THERE IS STILL SOME
CONCERN THIS WEEKEND AND MONDAY, SO CAUTION IS URGED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 84 61 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 85 56 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 88 61 89 61 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 87 57 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 81 66 81 68 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 88 58 89 58 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 85 58 86 60 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 80 68 80 69 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...KRS/98
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