223
FXUS64 KCRP 051806
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1206 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1205 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS BACK MORE SEASONAL TEMPS AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS
- DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO CREEP UP INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A VERY LOW (<5%)
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA SUNDAY RETURNING US TO MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT, INCREASE TO AROUND 20
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS, AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. WINDS WILL THEN
DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY BEGIN A SHIFT TO THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
WITH INCREASED WAVE ACTION AND NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
SUNDAY, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY BECOME A CONCERN. THIS IS
SOMETHING THAT WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS WE APPROACH THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 12 KNOTS. AS WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND
VICTORIA CROSSROADS RESULTING IN PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS. HAVE
INCLUDED THIS IN TEMPO GROUPS FOR ALI, VCT, AND CRP FOR ROUGHLY 08Z-
13Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST BREEZES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY. SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE
BREEZE (BF 3-4) THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH
MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE (15-25%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
ERC VALUES WILL BE HIGH (70-85TH PERCENTILE)THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
HOWEVER, GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
NEGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH
THURSDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BELOW 30%
FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS (RH
VALUES 15-25%) EXPECTED ON MONDAY BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. WINDS
BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL TURN TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST AND INCREASE
TO 15-20 MPH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER DANGER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. BY MONDAY, WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AND, WITH THEM, THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 62 84 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 58 84 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 62 89 63 93 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 59 87 60 92 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 67 81 68 82 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 59 88 59 92 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 59 86 61 91 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 69 80 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77
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