967
FXUS64 KCRP 060524
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1124 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS BACK MORE SEASONAL TEMPS AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS
- DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY, COASTAL PLAINS, AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. THIS WAS DUE TO
GUIDANCE HEAVILY PORTRAYING VISIBILITIES AROUND A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 AM THROUGH 9 AM. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THIS COULD BE EXPANDED THUS WE KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON IT
AS THINGS DEVELOP.
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING BACK THOSE ENJOYABLE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN. FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE A
CONCERN AS WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES PLUMMET. THIS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DECREASE MONDAY THOUGH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REMAINING VERY LOW, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS TAF CYCLE FOR THE WESTERN SITES.
FOR THE EASTERN SITES, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT
BEFORE DETERIORATING TO IFR/LIFR AROUND 09Z WHEN DENSE FOG BEGINS
TO DEVELOP. THE DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z
BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS
TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST BREEZE IS EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (15-25%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
ERC VALUES WILL BE HIGH (70-85TH PERCENTILE)THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
HOWEVER, GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
POTENTIALLY NEGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
TO BELOW 30% FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH EVEN DRIER
CONDITIONS (RH VALUES 15-25%) EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEHIND A
WEAK COLD FRONT. WINDS BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL TURN TO THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. BY MONDAY, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THOUGH WE
WILL REMAIN VERY DRY THEREFORE POTENTIALLY SOME ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS MAY REMAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 62 84 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 58 84 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 62 89 62 94 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 59 88 59 93 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 67 81 67 83 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 59 89 59 94 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 59 86 60 91 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 69 79 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY FOR TXZ230>234-
240>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84
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