705
FXUS64 KCRP 061039
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
439 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 434 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK COLD FRONT SUNDAY BRINGS BACK MORE SEASONAL TEMPS AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS
- DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY, COASTAL PLAINS, AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. THIS WAS DUE TO
GUIDANCE HEAVILY PORTRAYING VISIBILITIES AROUND A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE FROM 3 AM THROUGH 9 AM. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THIS COULD BE EXPANDED THUS WE KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON IT
AS THINGS DEVELOP.
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING BACK THOSE ENJOYABLE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN. FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE A
CONCERN AS WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES PLUMMET. THIS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DECREASE MONDAY THOUGH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REMAINING VERY LOW, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 434 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN
SITES DUE TO FOG WHILE LRD AND COT ENJOY VFR CONDITIONS. THE
EASTERN SITES WILL JOIN THE WESTERN SITES WITHIN VFR CONDITIONS BY
MID-MORNING AND REMAIN THERE FOR MOST OF THE TAF CYCLE. MODELS
ARE SHOWING MEDIUM CHANCES FOR DENSE FOG TOMORROW NIGHT FROM
07-14Z ACROSS THE EASTERN SITES, MAINLY ALI AND VCT. DUE TO THIS
BEING IN THE TAIL END OF THE FORECAST, OPTED NOT TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS AT THIS TIME. WE WILL EVALUATE FUTURE MODEL RUNS AND ADD THE
REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO THE TAFS IF NEEDED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-3) SOUTHEAST BREEZE IS EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE
INCREASING TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE (15-25%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1027 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
ERC VALUES WILL BE HIGH (70-85TH PERCENTILE)THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
HOWEVER, GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
POTENTIALLY NEGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
TO BELOW 30% FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH EVEN DRIER
CONDITIONS (RH VALUES 15-25%) EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEHIND A
WEAK COLD FRONT. WINDS BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL TURN TO THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT. BY MONDAY, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THOUGH WE
WILL REMAIN VERY DRY THEREFORE POTENTIALLY SOME ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS MAY REMAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 84 62 88 65 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 84 59 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 89 62 94 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 88 59 93 60 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 81 67 83 68 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 89 59 94 57 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 86 60 91 61 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 79 69 82 70 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ230>234-
240>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84
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