015
FXUS64 KCRP 121144
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
544 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 534 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- GRADUAL WARM-UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
ON SUNDAY
- DENSE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF SUNDAY COLD
FRONT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY BEFORE OUR NEXT FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE
ANOTHER WARMING TREND RETURNS MID-WEEK. DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE,
RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST OF THIS WORK WEEK AND BEGINNING OF THE
WEEKEND WILL BE NEAR ZERO. HOWEVER, MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WITH LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) RAIN CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY.
WHILE MOISTURE LEVELS OVERALL WILL BE ON THE LOW END, AN INCREASE IN
SURFACE MOISTURE DUE TO THE RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL SUPPORT FOG
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS BEGINNING
TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES SEA FOG AS WELL IF LIGHT WINDS AND COOLER
SHELF WATERS PERSIST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 534 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG THIS MORNING, SHOULD LIFT BY MID
MORNING BETWEEN 14-16Z. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT TO VFR LEVELS,
BUT REMAIN BKN. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG WITH LOW CIGS IS EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT, GENERALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
AS TO HOW WIDESPREAD AND DENSE THE FOG WILL BE AS MODELS ARE
SHOWING SHORTER DURATION AND AREAL COVERAGE. FOR NOW, WILL GO WITH
TEMPO GROUPS FOR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FOR ALL S TX TAF SITES.
THERE IS A LOW (10-20%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY, BECOMING VARIABLE TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
GENTLE SOUTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND STRENGTHENING TO A FRESH
TO STRONG BREEZE. WIND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BEFORE WEAKENING BACK TO
A MODERATE BREEZE MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOW TO MEDIUM (30-55%) RAIN
CHANCES WILL RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT AND HANG AROUND THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 30% WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT TO MODERATE
WINDS. THEREFORE, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 65 78 63 / 0 20 20 10
VICTORIA 77 61 79 57 / 0 10 20 10
LAREDO 80 60 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 80 62 82 59 / 0 10 20 10
ROCKPORT 73 63 74 61 / 0 20 30 20
COTULLA 77 60 79 56 / 0 10 0 0
KINGSVILLE 81 64 81 62 / 0 10 20 10
NAVY CORPUS 74 66 73 64 / 0 20 30 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ229>234-
239>247-342>347-442-443-447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
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