733
FXUS64 KCRP 121749
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1149 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1140 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
- GRADUAL WARM-UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
ON SUNDAY
- DENSE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND AHEAD OF SUNDAY COLD
FRONT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY BEFORE OUR NEXT FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE
ANOTHER WARMING TREND RETURNS MID-WEEK. DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE,
RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST OF THIS WORK WEEK AND BEGINNING OF THE
WEEKEND WILL BE NEAR ZERO. HOWEVER, MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WITH LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) RAIN CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY.
WHILE MOISTURE LEVELS OVERALL WILL BE ON THE LOW END, AN INCREASE IN
SURFACE MOISTURE DUE TO THE RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW WILL SUPPORT FOG
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS BEGINNING
TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES SEA FOG AS WELL IF LIGHT WINDS AND COOLER
SHELF WATERS PERSIST.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS IS CURRENTLY PRESENT BUT SHOULD
BRIEFLY LIFT TO PREVAILING VFR THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR SO, AFTER
WHICH TIME ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG WITH LOW CIGS IS EXPECTED. THERE
IS STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW WIDESPREAD AND DENSE THE
FOG WILL BE AS MODELS ARE SHOWING SHORTER DURATION AND AREAL
COVERAGE. HAVE CONTINUED TO GO WITH TEMPO GROUPS SHOWING LIFR/IFR
CONDITIONS FOR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AT ALL SITES. THERE IS A LOW
(~20%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY, BECOMING
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
GENTLE SOUTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND STRENGTHENING TO A FRESH
TO STRONG BREEZE. WIND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BEFORE WEAKENING BACK TO
A MODERATE BREEZE MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOW TO MEDIUM (30-55%) RAIN
CHANCES WILL RETURN FRIDAY NIGHT AND HANG AROUND THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 30% WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT TO MODERATE
WINDS. THEREFORE, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 65 79 63 71 / 20 20 20 40
VICTORIA 61 78 57 66 / 10 30 20 20
LAREDO 62 81 63 71 / 0 0 0 60
ALICE 63 82 60 70 / 10 10 10 40
ROCKPORT 63 74 61 69 / 20 30 20 30
COTULLA 60 79 59 67 / 10 0 10 30
KINGSVILLE 64 81 63 73 / 10 20 10 40
NAVY CORPUS 67 74 64 70 / 20 30 20 50
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...KRS/98
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