343
FXUS64 KCRP 140554
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1154 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1152 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE OF OUR NEXT COLD
FRONT SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
- LOW CHANCES (20-40%) FOR SHOWERS TODAY WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
- GALE WARNING FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT PROVIDING SOME
RELIEF TO OUR MOST RECENT WARM STRETCH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL SUNDAY AND TUESDAY WITH MONDAY FEATURING BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. UNFORTUNATELY THIS COOL WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED
AS ANOTHER WARMING TREND AWAITS US FOR MID-WEEK. MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE DRY, WITH SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEING THE
ONLY EXCEPTIONS WITH A LOW (20-40%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
AREAS OF FOG WITH IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS HAVE ALREADY SHIFTED TO THE N-NE FOR
COT AND VCT. THE WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED FOR LRD, ALI AND CRP BETWEEN
08-11Z. A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE
WIND SHIFT THROUGH 12-15Z. HOWEVER, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO S TX WHICH WILL LIFT CONDITIONS TO VFR
FOR COT AND VCT GRADUALLY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE SOUTHERN TAF SITES. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS BY
MID MORNING, THEN DECREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THERE
IS A LOW (10-30%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE COLD FRONT AND
LINGERING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. RAIN CHANCES END FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
NEAR GALE TO GALE (BF 7-8) NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AS WE HEAD
INTO MONDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL QUICKLY RELAX TO MODERATE LEVELS (BF
4) AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST WHICH WILL THEN HANG AROUND FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK. MEDIUM TO HIGH (30-70%) CHANCES FOR RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH RAIN CHANCES QUICKLY TAPERING OFF SUNDAY
EVENING. OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH A MEDIUM (40-50%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 30% WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT TO MODERATE
WINDS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDAY, WHERE WINDS CAN GUST TO 25-30 MPH.
HOWEVER, DUE TO THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY THIS WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 60 68 43 59 / 20 20 0 0
VICTORIA 54 62 34 57 / 20 10 0 0
LAREDO 61 68 47 62 / 0 40 0 0
ALICE 58 68 42 61 / 20 20 0 0
ROCKPORT 58 67 43 58 / 20 20 0 0
COTULLA 57 62 42 60 / 10 10 0 0
KINGSVILLE 60 68 43 61 / 10 30 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 62 68 48 58 / 20 20 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR
GMZ231-232-236-237.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 9 AM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
LONG TERM...JCP/84
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
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