812
FXUS64 KCRP 141846
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1246 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1237 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE OF OUR NEXT COLD
FRONT SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
- LOW CHANCES (20-40%) FOR SHOWERS TODAY WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
- GALE WARNING FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
THE COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE COAST AND LEFT BREEZY COOLER
CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. THERE ARE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS IN SOME
SPOTS THOUGH ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON. AS THE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP TONIGHT
BEHIND THE FRONT, LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO GET DOWN INTO THE 30S FROM
THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS EXTENDING TO PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH
COUNTRY. MUCH OF THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS WILL BE AROUND FREEZING
AT 33 DEGREES. THE POSSIBILITY FOR TEMPERATURES TO DIP SLIGHTLY
BELOW FREEZING DOES EXIST THOUGH CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME REMAINS
LOW TO MEDIUM (20-45%). WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS POSSIBILITY
AND MAY NEED TO ISSUE A SHORT-FUSED FREEZE WARNING IF CONFIDENCE
INCREASES THIS EVENING. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL LIKELY HOVER IN THE
UPPER 50S ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
POTENTIALLY REACHING 60 DEGREES.
LOOKING FORWARD TO LATER IN THE WEEK, AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL CREEP
INTO THE BRUSH COUNTRY FROM THE SOUTH LEADING TO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL PLAINS AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. THIS WILL
ALSO BE COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT ISENTROPIC AT THE 295-300K LEVELS
SHOULD LEAD TO SOME EFFICIENT RAINFALL. OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST
SHOULD REMAIN QUIET WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND FOLLOWING TODAY'S
FRONT. HIGHS WILL RETURN TO THE 80S BY THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE REGION TO VFR. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ELEVATED AS WELL THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME PERIODS OF MVFR
CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN THIS TOMORROW MORNING MAINLY
TO THE WEST (LRD). ELSEWHERE VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS BEGINNING
THIS EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
NEAR GALE TO GALE (BF 7-8) NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE GULF WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY
MORNING, WINDS WILL QUICKLY RELAX TO MODERATE LEVELS (BF 4) AND
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL THEN HANG
AROUND FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCES FOR RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY WITH RAIN CHANCES QUICKLY TAPERING OFF
THIS EVENING. OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A MEDIUM TO HIGH (50-75%) CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
DESPITE TODAY'S COLD FRONT, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE 30% WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS, EXCEPT FOR
SUNDAY, WHERE WINDS CAN GUST TO 25-30 MPH. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS, ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 40 57 48 70 / 0 0 0 10
VICTORIA 33 57 41 68 / 0 0 0 10
LAREDO 44 60 51 65 / 10 0 0 20
ALICE 38 59 46 68 / 0 0 0 20
ROCKPORT 42 59 50 69 / 0 0 0 10
COTULLA 41 58 48 63 / 0 0 0 20
KINGSVILLE 39 59 47 70 / 0 0 0 20
NAVY CORPUS 47 59 53 70 / 0 0 0 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-
237.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ250-255-270-275.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...NP/92
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