929
FXUS64 KCRP 160606
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1206 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1203 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH WARMING TREND
STARTING THURSDAY
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES (25-50%) FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE YET
ANOTHER WARMING TREND BEGINS THURSDAY. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY INTERACTING WITH PWAT
VALUES AROUND 1.50-1.60" TO PROMOTE MEDIUM CHANCES (30-70%) FOR
SHOWERS. THE WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S ARE EXPECTED
TO HANG AROUND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME. CONFIDENCE SHOULD INCREASE EITHER
WAY AND WE ENTER THE DOMAIN OF THE SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
VSBYS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. CIGS WILL VARY
BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE
BECOMING A SOLID MVFR CIG BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT WILL REMAIN LIGHT. THERE IS A 20-30% CHANCE
OF -SHRAS TUESDAY EVENING FOR LRD AND COT, THEN SPREAD EAST
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY DUE TO AN INVERTED
TROUGH WITH MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES (40-80%) FOR RAIN. WINDS COULD
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND STRENGTHEN TO A FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE IF
THE LATE WEEK COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
DESPITE DRIER AIR ACROSS THE REGION, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED REMAIN ABOVE 30% WITH LIGHT WINDS. A LATE WEEK
COLD FRONT COULD INCREASE WINDS LATE THIS WORK WEEK, BUT CONFIDENCE
IS LOW AT THIS TIME OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE CLEARING SOUTH TEXAS.
THEREFORE, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 70 63 72 62 / 10 40 70 10
VICTORIA 69 58 73 60 / 0 30 60 10
LAREDO 65 59 73 58 / 10 30 20 0
ALICE 69 60 74 60 / 10 40 60 10
ROCKPORT 69 62 71 63 / 0 30 60 10
COTULLA 63 57 72 58 / 10 30 20 0
KINGSVILLE 71 62 74 62 / 10 40 70 10
NAVY CORPUS 70 65 71 65 / 0 40 70 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...TE/81
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