698
FXUS64 KCRP 032304
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
504 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 448 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
INLAND COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY
- MEDIUM TO HIGH (50-70%) CHANCE FOR FOG LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY MORNING
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WORK WEEK, AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS PUSHING THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY RIGHT NOW
AND WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING, SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TO MORE NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY. WE ONLY HAVE THE DRY AIR IN PLACE, SO THIS FRONT
WILL LEAD TO BRIEF MORE EFFECTIVE 'COLD' AIR ADVECTION. CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING LOWS TO DIP AND RANGE FROM 45
TO 55 DEGREES ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW QUICKLY RETURNS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL
INCREASE MOISTURE, SETTING THE STAGE FOR FAVORABLE FOG CONDITIONS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REGION. LATEST
HREF PROBS INDICATE A 50-70% CHANCE FOR LESS THAN HALF A MILE FOG,
WITH GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OVER INLAND AREAS ADVECTING NORTHWEST.
RAIN-FREE AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL THEN DOMINATE THROUGH
THE NEXT WORK WEEK. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL NOTABLE SIGNIFICANT MODEL
DISCREPANCIES ON THE PROGRESSION OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT, IT LOOKS
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT AT LEAST THE FIRST (OR ONLY) FROPA WILL
OCCUR FRIDAY OR SATURDAY, LEADING TO LOW (10-30%) RAIN CHANCES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 504 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, BECOMING EAST AND SOUTHEAST SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEHIND
THE FRONT, A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
DEVELOP, STRENGTHEN TO A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5) TONIGHT, THEN
WINDS WEAKEN AND SHIFT ONSHORE BY SUNDAY NIGHT, CONTINUING
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF FRESH TO
STRONG SOUTHERLY (BF 5-6) FLOW WEDNESDAY. LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN
NEXT WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP TO 15-30%.
WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA AT 10-15 MPH,
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID
CONDITIONS RETURN SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK AHEAD
OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT NEXT WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 54 73 59 78 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 47 73 52 78 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 51 79 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 48 76 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 55 70 59 75 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 48 77 55 78 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 51 77 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 59 70 64 74 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...TE/81
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