811
FXUS64 KCRP 041120
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
520 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 510 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A DRY COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH S TX EARLIER IN THE DAY. THIS WILL
LEAD TO SLIGHTLY COOLER MIN TEMPS SUNDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO RETURN NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT BY SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ADVECT BACK ACROSS S TX THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS AND DRY AIR ALOFT, WILL BE
CONDUCIVE FOR FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
ACCORDING TO THE SREF, THERE IS A 20-50% CHANCE OF VISIBILITIES LESS
THAN 1SM BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE HRRR AND RAP ALSO PROG AREAS
OF FOG ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH
COUNTRY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW DENSE THE FOG WILL GET
AND HOW WIDESPREAD, THUS WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT, FOR NOW. AREAS OF FOG AND SEA FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
NIGHTLY THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK AHEAD
OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH S
TX EITHER FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE
SEASONAL BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT ALONG WITH A LOW (20-30%) OF
SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 510 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH TODAY AND THIS EVENING BEFORE AN
INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN IFR TO POTENTIALLY
LIFR CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN SITES. HAVE NOTED 1/2 TO 1
MI FOG AT MOST SITES. LRD MAY REMAIN WITH JUST CIG RESTRICTIONS.
MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DIMINISH TO A GENTLE
TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME EAST THEN SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY, THEN
STRENGTHEN TO A FRESH TO STRONG (BF 5-6) ONSHORE FLOW BY MID WEEK.
AREAS OF SEA FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE DAILY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
EXPECT SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS TO RETURN SUNDAY. A WARMING
TREND ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT
WEEK AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. SLIGHTLY DRIER BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. LOW RAIN CHANCES RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 72 59 79 65 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 73 53 79 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 79 59 81 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 77 56 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 70 59 76 64 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 77 56 79 59 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 76 58 82 63 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 69 63 75 67 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...PH/83
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