929
FXUS64 KCRP 051853
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1253 PM CST MON JAN 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1147 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
- AREAS OF FOG POSSIBLE EACH MORNING THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURN THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 15-30%
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. FOG WILL REMAIN LIKELY, ESPECIALLY INLAND,
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING AS LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS
AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SET THE STAGE. WINDS INCREASE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY, CREATING HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT AND REDUCING FOG CHANCES AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD
FRONT. THE COLD FRONT REMAINS ON TRACK TO PASS THROUGH FRIDAY OR
FRIDAY NIGHT, LEADING TO A LOW CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN THE
WAKE, CREATING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
INLAND COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
FRONT WILL BRING IN MUCH COOLER BUT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WITH
HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 40S. THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH
CHANCE (40-70%) FOR AREAS INLAND TO GET DOWN INTO THE 30S!
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
CLOUDS ARE BREAKING APART WITH LINGERING MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS. EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL BY 20Z ACROSS THE
AREA WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS OR LESS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 20 KNOTS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. DECREASING WINDS AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO START THIS EVENING WILL SET THE STAGE FOR
ANOTHER LOW CEILING AND FOGGY NIGHT, CONDITIONS DROPPING AROUND
LIFR/IFR IN MOST PLACES, ESPECIALLY INLAND FROM ALI TO VCT.
CEILINGS WILL LINGER AROUND LONGER THAN THE FOG INTO TUESDAY
MORNING BUT EXPECT VFR TO PREVAIL BY 17Z ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF FRESH (BF 5) WINDS TONIGHT.
ONSHORE WINDS STRENGTHEN TO STRONG (BF 6) WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS WEAKEN AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FRIDAY MORNING, THEN SHIFT NORTHWARD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG
(BF 6) REDEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. AREAS OF SEA FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE DAILY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THERE ARE LOW (20-40%) RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE 30% THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE OUR
NEXT COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, LEADING TO
A DRY END OF THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES RANGING AS LOW AS 15-
30%. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW THRESHOLDS. THERE ARE
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT LIGHT
WINDS WILL HELP LIMIT THE THREAT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (20%) OF
SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 64 83 64 82 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 62 83 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 60 84 61 85 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 62 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 64 78 64 78 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 59 84 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 63 85 62 85 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 67 76 67 77 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...EMF/94
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