698
FXUS64 KCRP 071848
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1248 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR MIDDLE TEXAS COASTLINE TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
- WARM AND MUGGY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
- BELOW-NORMAL HIGHS IN STORE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MID-WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
A WINDY AFTERNOON IS IN STORE FOR THE COASTAL BEND. THIS TREND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THUS LIMITING OUR
CHANCES FOR FOG TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. FOR THIS
REASON AS WELL, A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THURSDAY ACROSS ALL MARINE ZONES. WE WILL STILL KEEP THE STRATUS
DECK BY THE MORNING COMMUTE, BUT SHOULD SEE THE STRATUS BREAK UP
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW HIGH TEMPS TO REACH THE
UPPER 80S AND EVEN LOW 90S ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY WITH THE
COOLER SHELF WATERS KEEPING TEMPS IN THE 70S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COASTLINE. THE THREAT OF FOG (INLAND/SEA) RETURNS FRIDAY MORNING
WITH CALMER WINDS AHEAD OF THE LONG AWAITED COLD FRONT.
THE FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE BRUSH COUNTRY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND REACHING THE COASTAL WATERS BY FRIDAY NIGHT
(WITH ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY NEEDED AFTER THE COLD
FRONT FOR THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW AND 7-10 FT SEAS). THIS
RESULTS IN ONE LAST DAY OF HIGHS IN THE 80S (THOUGH NOT QUITE AS
HOT AS COMPARED TO THURSDAY). THE FIRST REAL BREATH OF (CHECKS
CALENDAR...) WINTER WILL BE ON SATURDAY MORNING WHERE TEMPS WILL
BE IN THE 50S AND SORT OF LINGER THERE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WITH CLOUDY SKIES. THE AIR WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY DRY ENOUGH
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY TO LIMIT RAIN CHANCES WITH THE
OVERRUNNING PATTERN, SO ANY RAIN THAT ACCUMULATES WILL BE LIMITED
TO THE COASTLINE AND ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE EVEN COOLER WITH TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE
40S ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH TEMPS CLIMBING BACK TO BELOW-NORMAL
VALUES (UPPER 50S/LOW 60S). THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO SOUTH TEXAS WITH S'LY WINDS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN AT 10-15 KTS AND GUSTING AS HIGH AS 25 KTS THROUGH THE TAF
CYCLE. THIS WILL ALSO INHIBIT THE FORMATION OF FOG AND RESULT IN
MORE OF A STRATUS LAYER DECK. CIGS MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN REDUCTIONS
INTO MVFR, BUT THIS SHOULD BE BRIEF.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
A FRESH TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WITH SEAS INCREASING TO 5-7 FT
OVERNIGHT HAS PROMPTED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL MARINE ZONES
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS DECREASE ON FRIDAY WHILE REMAINING
ONSHORE WITH SEAS MODERATING TO 4-5 FT. A COLD FRONT PASSAGE LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN OFFSHORE FLOW RETURNING
TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS AGAIN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
SUNDAY (WINDS RETURNING TO STRONG STRENGTH AND SEAS INCREASING TO
7- 10 FT). DAILY RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON SATURDAY (20-40%).
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026
OUR NEXT COLD FRONT IS SLATED FOR FRIDAY USHERING IN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AS LOW AS 22-30%
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY AND AS LOW AS 15% ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ON SATURDAY ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 15-
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AND WEAKER ON SUNDAY. THE ENERGY
RELEASE COMPONENT RANGING FROM 60-65TH PERCENTILE SHOULD LIMIT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS TO ELEVATED AT BEST. HOWEVER, THIS IS SOMETHING
THAT WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AS SLIGHTLY STRONGER
WINDS THAN FORECAST COULD INCREASE THE THREAT TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 68 85 67 83 / 0 0 0 10
VICTORIA 65 83 66 82 / 0 10 0 40
LAREDO 66 86 64 82 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 65 88 65 85 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 68 79 68 79 / 0 0 0 20
COTULLA 65 84 61 81 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 66 87 66 85 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 70 78 70 78 / 0 0 0 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ231-
232-236-237.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY
FOR GMZ250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...AE/82
AVIATION...AE/82
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