532
FXUS64 KCRP 192321
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
521 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 518 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
- FOG POTENTIAL INCREASES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
- COLD FRONT SATURDAY WILL BRING TEMPERATURES BACK NEAR NORMAL
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY WITH VERY LOW
RH AND GUSTY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
ANOTHER PATCHY TO DENSE FOG EPISODE LOOKS INCREASINGLY LIKELY FOR
TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME RELATIVELY LIGHT ONCE AGAIN
WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE POOLING IN THE REGION OVERNIGHT. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS FOG DEVELOPS TO SEE IF
IT NECESSITATES AN ADVISORY OR NOT. CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY FOR A
SIMILAR EPISODE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AS WELL. IN TERMS OF THE REST
OF THE FORECAST, WE ARE STILL EXPECTING A COLD FRONT TO SWING
THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT HOWEVER, WITH THE
RETURNING MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WE COULD SEE SOME SHOWERS IN
THE AREA PARTICULARLY OFFSHORE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY. WE COULD
POTENTIALLY SEE SOME OF THAT ACTIVITY CREEP INLAND A BIT THOUGH IT
REMAIN TO BE SEEN. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DRY THE REGION OUT,
BRINGING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN TO AROUND 10-20% ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS COUPLED WITH GUSTY WINDS COULD LEAD TO ELEVATED TO
POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MODELS DEPICT THE
FRONT SLIDING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY, THUS LIMITING THE THREAT.
SUNDAY HOWEVER, AS THE DRIER AIR FILTERS IN AND WINDS INCREASE WE
COULD SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS DEVELOP. CONTINUE TO CHECK BACK FOR
FUTURE UPDATES REGARDING THIS. EXPECT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
LINGER THROUGH THE EARLY PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK AT THE LEAST.
MOISTURE RECOVERY WILL BE MINIMAL HEADING INTO THE WEEK AS A RIDGE
SETTLES IN OVERHEAD.
AT LEAST ONE MORE RELATIVELY HOT DAY WILL BE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 80S AND 90S. CONDITIONS WILL COOL DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE 60S AND 70S AT LEAST TO BEGIN NEXT
WEEK, THOUGH HIGHS WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 80S AND 90S BY WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 518 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
HAZE HAS REMAINED IN PLACE ALL DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH MUCH OF
THE AREA DROPPING TO MVFR ALREADY THIS EVENING. EXPECT VIS
CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND DENSE
FOG WILL BE LIKELY ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
HAVEN'T GONE QUITE AS LOW FOR LRD AND COT, BUT THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS THERE AS WELL. LIFR CIGS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. EXPECT
IMPROVEMENT BY MID-DAY FRIDAY, BUT WILL LIKELY KEEP A 5-6 MI HAZE
ONCE AGAIN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK, WITH OCCASIONALLY FRESH (BF 5) BREEZES. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THIS WEEKEND WHEN LOW CHANCES (15-20%) FOR
PRECIPITATION RETURN OVER AREA WATERS AHEAD OF OUR NEXT FRONT.
THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL ALSO SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
WITH FRESH TO STRONG (BF 5-6) CONDITIONS AND SEAS AT 6-10 FEET.
THIS COULD LEAD TO THE ISSUANCE OF A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CLOSER
TO TIME, WHILE NEAR GALE FORCE GUSTS COULD BECOME POSSIBLE
OFFSHORE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
MIN RH VALUES IN THE BRUSH COUNTRY COULD DROP TO LOW LEVELS ON
THIS AFTERNOON WITH ERCS OUT WEST REMAINING SLIGHTLY ELEVATED (50TH-
69TH PERCENTILE). THOUGH WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING IN THE AREA
FIRE CONCERNS WILL BE LIMITED. RH VALUES REBOUND FRIDAY, BUT THEN
FALL TO LOW LEVELS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WHILE WINDS DONT
INCREASE UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY AND SHOULD HAVE LIMITED
OVERLAP WITH LOW RH. SUNDAY, HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AND RH
VALUES DROP TO 10-25% OVER A MAJORITY OF THE AREA. THUS ELEVATED TO
POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AND
A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY. RH VALUES ARE FORECASTED TO
REMAIN ON THE LOWER END THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 65 84 64 85 / 0 0 0 10
VICTORIA 62 81 62 82 / 0 10 10 10
LAREDO 64 92 64 86 / 0 0 0 10
ALICE 63 89 62 87 / 0 0 0 10
ROCKPORT 66 80 66 82 / 0 10 0 10
COTULLA 62 88 63 85 / 0 10 0 10
KINGSVILLE 64 89 62 87 / 0 0 0 10
NAVY CORPUS 67 77 67 79 / 0 10 0 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...PH/83
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