898
FXUS64 KCRP 221113
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
513 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 507 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
- RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY DUE TO ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
- GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
- VERY WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
NOW THAT THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH AND PUSHED OUT THE
MOISTURE, THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE FORECAST WILL BE FOR FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND THEN VERY WARM CONDITIONS AND
POSSIBLY A RETURN OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MID-WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING QUICKLY TO OUR NORTHWEST AND
COMPETING AGAINST THE FRONT STILL OFF TO OUR EAST TO KEEP STRONG
WINDS ACROSS ESPECIALLY EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA THE REST OF
TONIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY. IN ADDITION A STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH MID-DAY. THIS ALONG WITH VERY LOW RH
VALUES WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA AGAIN TODAY. A FEW FIRES WERE NOTED ON SATELLITE
SATURDAY AS THE DRY AIR MOVED IN.
WE'LL HAVE A COUPLE OF QUIETER DAYS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL FOR MONDAY, BUT BEGIN ANOTHER INCREASE BY TUESDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL FEATURE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE
SURFACE AND SOUTH TO WEST FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE - A GOOD RECIPE
FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES. WITH WINDS QUICKLY GOING SOUTHERLY AND
ONLY BRIEFLY SOUTHEASTERLY WE WONT SEE THE MOISTURE RETURN WE
TYPICALLY EXPECT, AND THIS, ALONG WITH THE SOARING TEMPERATURES
MAY LEAD TO THE SOMEWHAT UNUSUAL ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT AN AREA OF
LLWS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. THIS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AS SURFACE
WINDS INCREASE DUE TO THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING OUT (AROUND 12Z).
AS SUCH, NO MENTIONS OF LLWS HAVE MADE TO THE 12Z TAFS BUT WORTH
KEEPING IN MIND FOR THOSE EARLY DEPARTURES. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT TAF CYCLE WITH NE WINDS DECREASING BELOW
10 KTS BEYOND 03Z, WITH A MORE E'LY WIND ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF GALE FORCE WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID-DAY SUNDAY. FRESH TO STRONG FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS RETURN FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY, VEERING SOUTHERLY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONG TO
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS - THIS TIME OUT OF THE SOUTH - IS LIKELY
MID TO LATE WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR MOST OF THE AREA WITH
ANOTHER DAY OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH YESTERDAY.
WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER OVER THE FAR WESTERN AREAS AND HAVE A
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT THERE. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE GOING INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK TO LOWER THE FIRE CONCERN. RH VALUES REMAIN LOW TO
MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEK AND ANOTHER PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS MID-
WEEK COULD LEAD TO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ONCE AGAIN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 68 44 66 49 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 66 36 66 40 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 70 43 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 69 39 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 68 46 65 53 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 69 39 70 43 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 69 41 68 45 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 66 51 63 56 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR TXZ230>234-240>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-
270-275.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...AE/82
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