521
FXUS64 KCRP 251114
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
514 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 510 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
GIVEN THE LATEST TREND FROM HI-RES MODELS WITH RESPECT TO
WIND/WIND GUSTS, I'VE BUMPED UP WINDS THROUGH 6 PM. AS SUCH, A
WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS PERIOD ALONG THE COASTAL
ZONES/BARRIER ISLANDS.
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 510 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
- ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DAILY
- VERY WARM TODAY/THURSDAY
- LATE-WEEK COLD FRONT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS,
THOUGH WINDS WILL WEAKEN OUT WEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. NEAR RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND
TOMORROW BEFORE A WEAK FRONT MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. THIS FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT TEMPERATURES TOO MUCH
(ABOUT 10 DEGREES COOLER FRIDAY) BUT IT WILL USHER IN A DRIER
AIRMASS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 510 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE TAF
CYCLE. WINDS TODAY WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF THE S AT 20-25 KT ALONG
THE COAST AND AROUND 20 KT FOR INLAND LOCATIONS. OVERNIGHT, SOME
MODELS WANT TO THROW IN MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG, BUT THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THAT AS SOME CAMS AREN'T QUITE AS CONVINCED
GIVEN THE WINDS HAMPERING THE 10-12Z TIME FRAME. THAT SAID, THIS
REDUCTION IN FLIGHT CATEGORY HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF COMING TO
FRUITION THROUGH REDUCED CIGS. THEREFORE TEMPO GROUPS HAVE BEEN
ADDED FOR THE LOW-CLOUD DECK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
A SOUTHERLY STRONG BREEZE(BF 6) WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR GALE
(BF 7) WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS THURSDAY WILL RELAX TO
MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE (BF 4-5) AND TO A GENTLE (BF 3) BREEZE
THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL (UNDER 5%) THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS
WEEK. NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL RESULT
IN RH VALUES DROPPING TO AT LEAST 15% OUT WEST AND 30-40% EAST.
SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS EASTERN AREAS WITH
MUCH LIGHTER WINDS OUT WEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WHILE EVEN DRIER AIR MOVES IN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL WEAKEN A BIT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONT AND WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHTER FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY, THOUGH LOW RH LEVELS WILL PERSIST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 87 63 91 64 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 83 60 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 94 59 98 61 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 92 59 96 61 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 79 65 80 64 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 93 57 98 59 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 91 60 96 62 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 78 65 80 65 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR TXZ245-342>347-442-443-447.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-
237-250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...CLM/93
AVIATION...AE/82
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