129
FXUS64 KCRP 131901
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
201 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 159 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
- WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN STORE THIS WEEKEND
- STRONG COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY/EARLY MONDAY INCREASING FIRE RISK TO
CRITICAL CONDITIONS AND A BREEZY MONDAY
- BELOW-NORMAL TEMPS IN STORE FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEKEND (5-10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
SUNDAY) WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS
EXPECTED TO FLIRT WITH THE CENTURY MARK. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING
WITH GALE CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS AND QUITE THE BLUSTERY MONDAY
MORNING COMMUTE. WILL THIS BE OUR LAST SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT OF THE
SEASON? ONLY TIME WILL TELL. AFTER A COUPLE OF COOL DAYS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BACK IN PLACE BY LATE NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY
CHANCES FOR RAIN THIS WEEK WILL COME WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH
LOW CHANCES (15-25%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS TAF CYCLE WITH ONLY A
LOW CHANCE FOR FOG TOMORROW MORNING AT VCT AND ALI WHICH COULD BRING
THEM DOWN TO MVFR. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE WEAK WITH ONLY A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON OF STRONGER WINDS BETWEEN 12-15 KNOTS, MAINLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN SITES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
GENTLE TO FRESH BREEZE (BF 3-5) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING TO PREDOMINATELY FRESH SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE COLD FRONT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE (BF 6-7)
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH
GUSTS TO GALE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DECREASING MONDAY EVENING
RETURNING BACK TO A MODERATE BREEZE (BF 4). THE ONLY CHANCES FOR
RAIN WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG THE FRONT WITH LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES
(20-60%) ACROSS THE GULF WATER AND LOW CHANCES ACROSS THE BAYS AND
WATERWAYS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
USHERING COOLER AND DRIER AIR. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP INTO THE 10-25% RANGE SUNDAY BEFORE IMPROVING SLIGHTLY TO 20-
35% MONDAY. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT, HOWEVER,
CURRENT TIMING OF THE WINDS HAVE THEM DECREASING BELOW CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER VALUES BY THE TIME THE DRIER AIR MOVES IN. IF THE WINDS TAKE
LONGER TO COME DOWN, THEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED. AT THE VERY LEAST, SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE BOTH TRENDING TO
BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 59 83 68 92 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 53 81 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 58 94 66 98 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 56 89 64 96 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 64 79 68 83 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 56 91 64 96 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 57 87 65 97 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 65 77 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...JCP/84
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