702
FXUS64 KCRP 141851
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
151 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 150 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
- FIRE WEATHER WATCH, GALE WATCH AND WIND ADVISORY HAVE BEEN ISSUED
- COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY WILL BRING CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MONDAY
AND GALE CONDITIONS ACROSS MARINE SITES
- BELOW-NORMAL TEMPS MONDAY/TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES (15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) WILL
CONTINUE SUNDAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS FLIRTING WITH THE CENTURY MARK.
ALL THREE CLIMATE SITES WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SET NEW MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE RECORDS (CRP AND VCT FORECAST 1 DEGREE BELOW AND LRD
FORECAST 3 DEGREES BELOW) ON SUNDAY. THE SCRIPT WILL FLIP SUNDAY
NIGHT AS ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION.
STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO VARIOUS WEATHER
HAZARDS (WIND ADVISORY, GALE WATCH AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH) SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AFTER A COUPLE OF COOL DAYS MONDAY AND TUESDAY, A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BACK IN PLACE BY LATE NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY CHANCES FOR
RAIN THIS WEEK WILL COME WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH LOW CHANCES
(10-15%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING WITH MVFR CEILINGS RETURNING AROUND 06Z, MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN SITES. ALI, CRP AND VCT ALSO HAVE A CHANCE TO SEE BRIEF
IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AS WELL. STRONG WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE
TONIGHT BEFORE PICKING BACK UP TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF OUR NEXT FRONT. STRONG WINDS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45-50 MPH
POSSIBLE AND SEAS UP TO 16 FEET. THEREFORE, A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING WITH A
GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. YOU CAN EXPECT
FOR ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED MONDAY AFTERNOON ONCE
WINDS DECREASE BELOW GALE SPEEDS. EXCEPT FOR A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE
(20-55%) FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE, RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
USHERING COOLER AND DRIER AIR. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP INTO THE 10-30% RANGE SUNDAY BEFORE DROPPING FURTHER TO THE
10-20% RANGE MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT TO MONDAY AFTERNOON, WHICH IS
WHEN THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION FROM
THE 20% RANGE TO THE TEENS. THEREFORE, A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED HAS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 68 93 49 65 / 0 0 10 0
VICTORIA 64 89 43 60 / 0 0 10 0
LAREDO 67 99 51 68 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 64 98 46 66 / 0 0 10 0
ROCKPORT 68 83 49 65 / 0 0 10 0
COTULLA 64 98 46 64 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 65 98 49 66 / 0 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 69 82 52 64 / 0 0 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR TXZ229>234-239>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ231-
232-236-237-250-255-270-275.
GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR GMZ231-
232-236-237-250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...JCP/84
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